All matches

Plaza Amador — Alianza, LPF

Panama, LPF

Plaza Amador
3.2WWDDW
—
Alianza
2.2LWDLD
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Outcome probability
56%26%18%
Plaza Amador56%Draw26%Alianza18%

Model vs market

Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Plaza Amador56%1.77—
XDraw26%3.84—
2Alianza18%5.69—

our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price

Quick markets

The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.

Both teams to score

Yes59%

ours 1.71

No41%

ours 2.41

Over 2.5 goals

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Over 9.5 corners

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Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricPlaza AmadorAlianzaCombined
Goals scored1.170.501.67
Conceded0.830.501.33
Corners5.811.88.8
Cards1.52.33.8
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Why the model reads the match this way

Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.

Plaza AmadorAlianza

CD Plaza Amador 56%, Alianza FC Panama 18%. The safest is “CD Plaza Amador or draw” at 78%.

CD Plaza Amador 56%Draw 26%Alianza FC Panama 18%
1st half
38 · 39 · 24
2nd half
42 · 36 · 22
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?

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More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

First half total: Over 0.5

70%
High variancelow probability, high price

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Form and context

Plaza Amador

  • homeUniversitario2:1
  • awayUnion Cocle2:1
  • homeVeraguas1:1
  • awayIndependiente de La Chorrera2:2
  • homeHerrera4:1

Alianza

  • awayHerrera0:1
  • homeIndependiente de La Chorrera2:0
  • homeUniversitario0:0
  • awayVeraguas1:2
  • homeSan Francisco1:1

Head to head

  • 08/16/26LPF4:2
  • 05/23/26LPF3:2
  • 04/12/26LPF1:1
  • 02/07/26LPF1:1
  • 11/29/25LPF2:0

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1Plaza Amador1173126:1624
2Arabe Unido1164116:822
3San Francisco1162322:1420
4Veraguas1146117:1518
5UMECIT1144310:916
6Tauro1142516:1314
7Alianza1135311:1014
8Independiente de La Chorrera1125415:1711
9Universitario1125410:1211

Full breakdown

Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.