Both teams to score
Yes57%
ours 1.76
No43%
ours 2.32
All matches
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Guadalajara — Atlante, Liga MX
Mexico, Liga MX
Guadalajara
2.5LDWWD
Atlante
1.8WDLDD
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
56%24%20%
Guadalajara56%Draw24%Atlante20%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Guadalajara1.78—
XDraw4.16—
2Atlante5.04—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricGuadalajaraAtlanteCombined
Goals scored0.330.831.16
Conceded0.670.501.17
Corners14.512.513.5
Cards1.51.02.5
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
GuadalajaraAtlante
CD Guadalajara 56%, Club Atlante 20%. The safest is “CD Guadalajara or draw” at 78%.
CD Guadalajara 56%Draw 24%Club Atlante 20%
1st half
45 · 39 · 17
2nd half
35 · 38 · 27
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
First half total: Over 0.5
69%
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
Guadalajara
- homeQueretaro0:2
- awayAmerica2:2
- homePumas UNAM3:0
- awayAtletico San Luis3:0
- awayPachuca1:1
Atlante
- homeMonterrey4:2
- awayPuebla1:1
- homePachuca0:3
- awayAtlas1:1
- homeLeon1:1
Head to head
No head-to-head matches on record.
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1
Deportivo Toluca1062223:1220
Deportivo Toluca1062223:12202
America962121:1020
America962121:10203Guadalajara1053217:1018
Guadalajara1053217:10184
Queretaro952213:817
Queretaro952213:8175
Leon1052314:1117
Leon1052314:11176
Atlas1052316:1717
Atlas1052316:17177
Cruz Azul1051419:1816
Cruz Azul1051419:18168
Tijuana942314:1314
Tijuana942314:13149
Puebla1042411:1214
Puebla1042411:121410
Monterrey941416:1413
Monterrey941416:141311
Pachuca1033415:1112
Pachuca1033415:111212
Pumas UNAM1033414:1612
Pumas UNAM1033414:161213
Atletico San Luis1033414:1812
Atletico San Luis1033414:181214Atlante1025312:1511
Atlante1025312:151115
Tigres UANL1024410:1310
Tigres UANL1024410:131016
Santos Laguna1031610:1510
Santos Laguna1031610:1510Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.