Both teams to score
Yes61%
ours 1.63book 1.62
No39%
ours 2.59book 2.19
All matches
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UT Cajamarca — Sporting Cristal, Primera División
Peru, Primera División
UT Cajamarca
0.7LLLLL
Sporting Cristal
2.7WWWLL
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
27%23%50%
UT CajamarcaMarket 3.5127%DrawMarket 3.6023%Sporting CristalMarket 1.9550%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1UT Cajamarca3.683.51-1.4
XDraw4.313.60-4.6
2Sporting Cristal2.011.95-1.6
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricUT CajamarcaSporting CristalCombined
Goals scored1.332.503.83
Conceded2.671.173.84
Corners9.313.511.4
Cards2.52.04.5
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
UT CajamarcaSporting Cristal
CCyD Universidad Técnica de Cajamarca 27%, Club Sporting Cristal SAC 50%. The safest is “No draw” at 77%.
CCyD Universidad Técnica de Cajamarca 27%Draw 23%Club Sporting Cristal SAC 50%
1st half
28 · 37 · 35
2nd half
28 · 36 · 36
Bookmakers: 3.51 · 3.60 · 1.95
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Total corners: Under 12.5
71%
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
UT Cajamarca
- awaySport Huancayo2:3
- homeJuan Pablo II1:2
- awayAlianza Atletico Sullana2:3
- homeUniversitario de Deportes2:4
- homeComerciantes Unidos1:3
Sporting Cristal
- homeAtletico Grau3:1
- awayUCV Moquegua2:1
- homeLos Chankas5:0
- awaySport Boys0:1
- awayAlianza Atletico Sullana1:3
Head to head
- 04/19/26Primera División2:3
- 08/23/25Primera División2:2
- 04/06/25Primera División4:1
- 08/25/24Primera División0:4
- 03/31/24Primera División1:2
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
7
Cienciano271251046:4041
Cienciano271251046:40418
Alianza Atletico Sullana27117940:3540
Alianza Atletico Sullana27117940:35409Sporting Cristal271151148:4038
Sporting Cristal271151148:403810
Sport Boys27108929:2638
Sport Boys27108929:263811
Sport Huancayo271051237:4435
Sport Huancayo271051237:443512
Juan Pablo II27971142:5234
Juan Pablo II27971142:523413
Atletico Grau27951326:3132
Atletico Grau27951326:313214
Comerciantes Unidos27791135:3830
Comerciantes Unidos27791135:383015
Cajamarca27761441:5227
Cajamarca27761441:522716
Deportivo Tarma27671429:4225
Deportivo Tarma27671429:422517
UCV Moquegua27671424:4125
UCV Moquegua27671424:412518UT Cajamarca27481532:5020
UT Cajamarca27481532:5020Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
Free full access for 3 days when you sign up
Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.