All matches

Caykur Rizespor — Fenerbahce, Süper Lig

Turkey, Süper Lig

Caykur Rizespor
1.8DWLWL
—
Fenerbahce
3.7WDDLW
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Outcome probability
25%23%52%
Caykur RizesporMarket 4.5825%DrawMarket 4.1323%FenerbahceMarket 1.7552%

Model vs market

Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Caykur Rizespor25%22%3.944.58+3.6
XDraw23%24%4.344.13-1.2
2Fenerbahce52%57%1.941.75-5.5

our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price

Quick markets

The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.

Both teams to score

Yes63%

ours 1.58book 1.61

No37%

ours 2.74book 2.17

Over 2.5 goals

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Over 9.5 corners

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Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricCaykur RizesporFenerbahceCombined
Goals scored1.172.333.50
Conceded1.000.671.67
Corners9.89.79.8
Cards2.02.74.7
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Why the model reads the match this way

Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.

Caykur RizesporFenerbahce

Çaykur Rizespor 25%, Fenerbahçe 52%. The safest is “No draw” at 77%.

Çaykur Rizespor 25%Draw 23%Fenerbahçe 52%
1st half
33 · 35 · 31
2nd half
25 · 34 · 41

Bookmakers: 4.58 · 4.13 · 1.75

Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?

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More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

Double chance: Away or draw

71%1.22
High variancelow probability, high price

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Form and context

Caykur Rizespor

  • awayGoztepe2:2
  • awayEyupspor2:0
  • homeAlanyaspor0:1
  • awayGaziantep2:1
  • homeSamsunspor0:2

Fenerbahce

  • homeEyupspor8:0
  • awayGaziantep0:0
  • homeRoma1:1
  • homeBesiktas1:2
  • awaySamsunspor2:0

Head to head

  • 04/17/26Süper Lig2:2
  • 11/23/25Süper Lig2:5
  • 02/02/25Süper Lig2:3
  • 08/25/24Süper Lig0:5

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
4Kocaelispor64027:412
5Alanyaspor63218:611
6Fenerbahce631216:610
7Trabzonspor631213:510
8Kasimpasa62407:510
9Caykur Rizespor63127:610
10Gaziantep62227:78
11Corum FK621313:127

Full breakdown

Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.