Both teams to score
Yes57%
ours 1.76
No43%
ours 2.31
All matches
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Carrarese Calcio — Unione Sportiva Arezzo, Serie B
Italy, Serie B
Carrarese Calcio
LLLDL
Unione Sportiva Arezzo
LWLLW
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
42%28%30%
Carrarese Calcio42%Draw28%Unione Sportiva Arezzo30%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Carrarese Calcio2.39—
XDraw3.57—
2Unione Sportiva Arezzo3.32—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricCarrarese CalcioUnione Sportiva ArezzoCombined
Goals scored0.000.330.33
Conceded0.501.502.00
Corners9.78.39.0
Cards1.01.32.3
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Confident answers
The line the model is most sure about — and how often such answers have come in.
Goals
This market opens with a subscription.
Sign up70%of such answers on goals came inlast 60 days · 890 matches
Corners
This market opens with a subscription.
Sign up69%of such answers on corners came inlast 60 days · 889 matches
Cards
This market opens with a subscription.
Sign up69%of such answers on cards came inlast 60 days · 886 matches
This is a probability, not a guarantee: roughly 3 answers in 10 don’t come in. Bookmaker odds on these lines are low — this block shows the model’s accuracy, not the value of a bet.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
Carrarese CalcioUnione Sportiva Arezzo
Carrarese Calcio 42%, Unione Sportiva Arezzo 30%. The safest is “No draw” at 73%.
Carrarese Calcio 42%Draw 28%Unione Sportiva Arezzo 30%
1st half
34 · 42 · 24
2nd half
36 · 35 · 29
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Total corners: Under 11.5
69%
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
Carrarese Calcio
- homeBenevento Calcio0:1
- awayCatanzaro Calcio 20110:1
- homeEmpoli FC0:1
- awayAscoli Picchio FC 18981:1
- homeMantova FC1:2
Unione Sportiva Arezzo
- homeFC Südtirol1:4
- awayEmpoli FC1:0
- awayHellas Verona FC0:5
- homeUS Città di Palermo2:3
- awayUS Avellino2:1
Head to head
No head-to-head matches on record.
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
11
Calcio Padova Spa52125:67
Calcio Padova Spa52125:6712
Empoli FC52034:66
Empoli FC52034:6613Unione Sportiva Arezzo52036:136
Unione Sportiva Arezzo52036:13614
ACD Virtus Entella51227:65
ACD Virtus Entella51227:6515
US Cremonese51225:75
US Cremonese51225:7516
Vicenza Calcio51227:105
Vicenza Calcio51227:10517
SS Juve Stabia51224:75
SS Juve Stabia51224:7518
UC Sampdoria51135:94
UC Sampdoria51135:9419
Catanzaro Calcio 201151045:93
Catanzaro Calcio 201151045:9320Carrarese Calcio50142:61
Carrarese Calcio50142:61Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
Free full access for 3 days when you sign up
Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.