Both teams to score
Yes54%
ours 1.85book 1.59
No46%
ours 2.17book 2.17
All matches
Caracas — Deportivo Tachira, Primera División
Venezuela, Primera División
Caracas
1.9WWDLL
Deportivo Tachira
3.0DWWDL
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
22%26%51%
CaracasMarket 2.9822%DrawMarket 3.2226%Deportivo TachiraMarket 2.1651%
Model vs market
Our probability against the market’s — the bookmaker price with its margin removed. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Caracas4.512.98-8.1
XDraw3.793.22-1.6
2Deportivo Tachira1.942.16+9.7
our modelmarket — bookmaker price, margin removed
Quick markets
The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.
Over 2.5 goals
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Over 9.5 corners
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Goals and corners — with Premium
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Combos
Combos come with Premium: result and total, result and corners, both teams to score and total — probability, fair odds and the market comparison.
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Confident answers
The line where the model is closest to 72% — and how often such answers have come in.
Goals
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71%of such answers on goals came inlast 60 days · 2721 matches
Corners
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71%of such answers on corners came inlast 60 days · 2715 matches
Cards
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71%of such answers on cards came inlast 60 days · 2706 matches
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This is a probability, not a guarantee: roughly 3 answers in 10 don’t come in. Bookmaker odds on these lines are low — this block is about the model’s accuracy.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
CaracasDeportivo Tachira
Caracas FC 22%, Deportivo Táchira FC 51%. The safest is “Deportivo Táchira FC or draw” at 78%.
Caracas FC 22%Draw 26%Deportivo Táchira FC 51%
1st half
24 · 41 · 35
2nd half
22 · 42 · 36
Bookmakers: 2.98 · 3.22 · 2.16
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
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More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
First half total: Under 1.5
63%1.46
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Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricCaracasDeportivo TachiraCombined
Goals scored1.402.203.60
Conceded
Corners
Cards
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Insights
What to know before the match: recent games, the table, head-to-head. Only facts from played matches — no model opinions.
Caracas- 3 draws in the last 5 head-to-head meetings0:0, 0:1, 0:0, 3:2, 1:1
Deportivo Tachira- Best attack in the league — 55 goals in 32 matches2nd place, 62 points
- Most shots on target in the league — 5.6 per match14 teams in the league
- 11 goals in the last 5 matches2:2, 4:1, 4:2, 1:1, 0:2
Based on played matches of the current season and recent games. A fact is shown only when it stands out from the usual.
Form and context
Caracas
- awayRayo Zuliano2:1
- homeZamora4:1
- awayAcademia Anzoategui1:1
- awayMetropolitanos0:3
- homeMonagas0:1
Deportivo Tachira
- awayCarabobo2:2
- homeUniversidad Central de Venezuela4:1
- awayDeportivo La Guaira4:2
- homeAcademia Puerto Cabello1:1
- awayEstudiantes de Merida0:2
Head to head
- 08/30/26Primera División0:0
- 03/07/26Primera División0:1
- 11/05/25Primera División0:0
- 10/22/25Primera División3:2
- 08/02/25Primera División1:1
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1
Metropolitanos32198552:2865
Metropolitanos32198552:28652
Deportivo Tachira32188655:3462
Deportivo Tachira32188655:34623
Carabobo331413650:3055
Carabobo331413650:30554
Deportivo La Guaira321312742:2951
Deportivo La Guaira321312742:29515
Academia Puerto Cabello331311944:3550
Academia Puerto Cabello331311944:35506
Portuguesa321113840:3346
Portuguesa321113840:33467
Universidad Central de Venezuela321291145:4345
Universidad Central de Venezuela321291145:43458
Estudiantes de Merida321171438:4240
Estudiantes de Merida321171438:42409
Caracas26711830:3332
Caracas26711830:333210
Monagas26851331:3929
Monagas26851331:392911
Rayo Zuliano26831532:5127
Rayo Zuliano26831532:5127Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.