Both teams to score
Yes56%
ours 1.78
No44%
ours 2.29
All matches
—
Calcio Padova Spa — ACD Virtus Entella, Serie B
Italy, Serie B
Calcio Padova Spa
LWLDW
ACD Virtus Entella
DWDLL
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
42%28%30%
Calcio Padova Spa42%Draw28%ACD Virtus Entella30%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Calcio Padova Spa2.40—
XDraw3.58—
2ACD Virtus Entella3.29—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricCalcio Padova SpaACD Virtus EntellaCombined
Goals scored0.831.172.00
Conceded1.001.002.00
Corners10.87.08.9
Cards2.21.43.6
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
Free full access for 3 days when you sign up
Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Confident answers
The line the model is most sure about — and how often such answers have come in.
Goals
This market opens with a subscription.
Sign up70%of such answers on goals came inlast 60 days · 890 matches
Corners
This market opens with a subscription.
Sign up69%of such answers on corners came inlast 60 days · 889 matches
Cards
This market opens with a subscription.
Sign up69%of such answers on cards came inlast 60 days · 886 matches
This is a probability, not a guarantee: roughly 3 answers in 10 don’t come in. Bookmaker odds on these lines are low — this block shows the model’s accuracy, not the value of a bet.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
Calcio Padova SpaACD Virtus Entella
Calcio Padova Spa 42%, ACD Virtus Entella 30%. The safest is “No draw” at 73%.
Calcio Padova Spa 42%Draw 28%ACD Virtus Entella 30%
1st half
28 · 39 · 33
2nd half
34 · 39 · 27
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Total corners: Over 7.5
72%
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
Calcio Padova Spa
- awayUS Città di Palermo1:2
- homeAscoli Picchio FC 18981:0
- awayUS Cremonese1:3
- homeHellas Verona FC1:1
- awayAC Pisa 19091:0
ACD Virtus Entella
- awayUS Cremonese0:0
- awayAC Pisa 19094:1
- homeVicenza Calcio2:2
- homeAC Cesena1:2
- awayFC Südtirol0:1
Head to head
- 04/25/26Serie B0:1
- 09/21/25Serie B2:1
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
9
Benevento Calcio52126:57
Benevento Calcio52126:5710
AC Pisa 190952128:87
AC Pisa 190952128:8711Calcio Padova Spa52125:67
Calcio Padova Spa52125:6712
Empoli FC52034:66
Empoli FC52034:6613
Unione Sportiva Arezzo52036:136
Unione Sportiva Arezzo52036:13614ACD Virtus Entella51227:65
ACD Virtus Entella51227:6515
US Cremonese51225:75
US Cremonese51225:7516
Vicenza Calcio51227:105
Vicenza Calcio51227:105Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
Free full access for 3 days when you sign up
Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.