All matches

Union de Santa Fe — Defensa y Justicia, Primera División

Argentina, Primera División

Union de Santa Fe
1.6LLLWW
—
Defensa y Justicia
2.0WDWLW
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Outcome probability
48%25%27%
Union de Santa Fe48%Draw25%Defensa y Justicia27%

Model vs market

Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Union de Santa Fe48%2.10—
XDraw25%3.97—
2Defensa y Justicia27%3.68—

our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price

Quick markets

The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.

Both teams to score

Yes64%

ours 1.56

No36%

ours 2.78

Over 2.5 goals

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Over 9.5 corners

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Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricUnion de Santa FeDefensa y JusticiaCombined
Goals scored2.001.673.67
Conceded1.830.672.50
Corners8.010.59.3
Cards2.02.24.2
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Why the model reads the match this way

Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.

Union de Santa FeDefensa y Justicia

CA Unión de Santa Fe 48%, CSD Defensa y Justicia 27%. The safest is “No draw” at 77%.

CA Unión de Santa Fe 48%Draw 25%CSD Defensa y Justicia 27%
1st half
41 · 35 · 24
2nd half
39 · 35 · 26
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?

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More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

Total goals: Over 2.5

71%
High variancelow probability, high price

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Form and context

Union de Santa Fe

  • awayBoca Juniors0:3
  • homeIndependiente1:2
  • awayTalleres de Cordoba1:2
  • homeInstituto Córdoba3:2
  • homeSarmiento4:1

Defensa y Justicia

  • homeSan Lorenzo de Almagro3:0
  • awayCentral Córdoba de Santiago del Estero2:2
  • homeGimnasia Mendoza2:0
  • awayLanus0:1
  • homePlatense1:0

Head to head

  • 03/21/26Primera División0:2
  • 10/21/25Primera División3:0
  • 04/14/25Primera División0:0
  • 04/16/17Primera División0:2

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
11Instituto Córdoba26134932:2443
12Independiente28118936:3541
13Defensa y Justicia271010734:3240
14Lanus27108928:2638
15Union de Santa Fe291071243:4237
16Gimnasia Mendoza271061128:3436
17Barracas Central2698922:2335

Full breakdown

Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.