Both teams to score
Yes47%
ours 2.11
No53%
ours 1.90
All matches
—
San Miguel — Deportivo Madryn, Prim B Nacional
Argentina, Prim B Nacional
San Miguel
LLDDL
Deportivo Madryn
WDWLW
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
33%30%37%
San Miguel33%Draw30%Deportivo Madryn37%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1San Miguel2.99—
XDraw3.33—
2Deportivo Madryn2.74—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Combos: result and total
Two events in one forecast. The model scores them together, from the probability of every scoreline — so the link between them is built in: when the home side is stronger, a win and plenty of goals tend to come together.
Combos come with a subscription: probability, fair odds and the market comparison for all 24 combinations.
Sign upCombos: result and corners
The result comes from the goals model, corners from the corners model. The link between them is measured on 66,000 played matches: the winning side usually takes fewer corners, because the team chasing the game does the crossing. The market has no ready line for these combinations, so «Market» here is a parlay of two separate bets: the result and the corners total.
Corner combos come with a subscription: probability and fair odds for all 48 combinations.
Sign upAverage totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricSan MiguelDeportivo MadrynCombined
Goals scored0.330.671.00
Conceded0.830.000.83
Corners8.79.08.8
Cards3.02.05.0
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
Free full access for 3 days when you sign up
Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Confident answers
The line the model is most sure about — and how often such answers have come in.
Goals
This market opens with a subscription.
Sign up70%of such answers on goals came inlast 60 days · 890 matches
Corners
This market opens with a subscription.
Sign up69%of such answers on corners came inlast 60 days · 889 matches
Cards
This market opens with a subscription.
Sign up69%of such answers on cards came inlast 60 days · 886 matches
This is a probability, not a guarantee: roughly 3 answers in 10 don’t come in. Bookmaker odds on these lines are low — this block shows the model’s accuracy, not the value of a bet.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
San MiguelDeportivo Madryn
CA San Miguel 33%, Club Social y Deportivo Madryn 37%. The safest is “No draw” at 70%.
CA San Miguel 33%Draw 30%Club Social y Deportivo Madryn 37%
1st half
24 · 52 · 24
2nd half
31 · 36 · 34
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Most corners: Home
70%
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
San Miguel
- homeMitre0:2
- awayEstudiantes de Caseros1:2
- homeAll Boys1:1
- awayLos Andes1:1
- homeGodoy Cruz1:2
Deportivo Madryn
- awayFerro Carril Oeste2:0
- homeCentral Norte0:0
- homeRacing de Cordoba2:0
- awayDefensores de Belgrano1:2
- homeCiudad de Bolivar3:1
Head to head
- 06/14/26Prim B Nacional2:2
- 07/05/25Prim B Nacional1:1
- 03/02/25Prim B Nacional1:2
- 11/03/24Prim B Nacional0:0
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
6
Atlanta321741138:3055
Atlanta321741138:30557
Gimnasia y Esgrima (Jujuy)32159848:4054
Gimnasia y Esgrima (Jujuy)32159848:40548Deportivo Madryn321411746:2853
Deportivo Madryn321411746:28539
Colon321410839:2552
Colon321410839:255210
Ferrocarril Midland321391035:2548
Ferrocarril Midland321391035:254811
Gimnasia y Tiro321391032:2848
Gimnasia y Tiro321391032:284812
Deportivo Maipu321381139:3147
Deportivo Maipu321381139:314713
Ciudad de Bolivar321211927:2747
Ciudad de Bolivar321211927:274714
Almirante Brown3212101025:2146
Almirante Brown3212101025:214615
Colegiales321371231:3246
Colegiales321371231:324616
San Martin de San Juan321291134:3245
San Martin de San Juan321291134:324517
Estudiantes de Caseros321291129:2745
Estudiantes de Caseros321291129:274518
San Martin de Tucuman321013935:3243
San Martin de Tucuman321013935:324319
Atletico Rafaela321191227:3042
Atletico Rafaela321191227:304220
Los Andes329131025:2340
Los Andes329131025:234021
Quilmes321091330:2739
Quilmes321091330:273922
Almagro321081428:3838
Almagro321081428:383823
Chaco For Ever329101330:3337
Chaco For Ever329101330:333724
Defensores de Belgrano328131125:2937
Defensores de Belgrano328131125:293725
San Telmo329101328:3637
San Telmo329101328:363726
Agropecuario329101326:3537
Agropecuario329101326:353727
Racing de Cordoba329101329:3937
Racing de Cordoba329101329:393728
Nueva Chicago32991423:3036
Nueva Chicago32991423:303629
Mitre327141129:3935
Mitre327141129:393530
Patronato326161027:3234
Patronato326161027:323431
Chacarita Juniors32961724:3333
Chacarita Juniors32961724:333332
Central Norte326151120:2933
Central Norte326151120:293333
All Boys326151118:2833
All Boys326151118:283334San Miguel326131325:3831
San Miguel326131325:383135
Acassuso32781722:3529
Acassuso32781722:352936
Guemes32581923:5423
Guemes32581923:5423Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
Free full access for 3 days when you sign up
Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.