Both teams to score
Yes58%
ours 1.71
No42%
ours 2.40
All matches
—
River Plate — Racing Club, Primera División
Argentina, Primera División
River Plate
2.6LWWWD
Racing Club
2.1WWLLL
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
54%25%21%
River Plate54%Draw25%Racing Club21%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1River Plate1.86—
XDraw3.97—
2Racing Club4.76—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricRiver PlateRacing ClubCombined
Goals scored1.001.172.17
Conceded0.671.001.67
Corners4.310.07.2
Cards1.71.83.4
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
River PlateRacing Club
CA River Plate 54%, Racing Club de Avellaneda 21%. The safest is “CA River Plate or draw” at 80%.
CA River Plate 54%Draw 25%Racing Club de Avellaneda 21%
1st half
43 · 35 · 22
2nd half
41 · 37 · 22
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Total cards: Over 3.5
71%
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
River Plate
- homeHuracan1:2
- awayTucuman2:1
- homeIndependiente Rivadavia3:1
- awayBanfield3:2
- homeVelez Sarsfield2:2
Racing Club
- awayEstudiantes de Río Cuarto2:1
- homeSarmiento3:1
- awayHuracan1:2
- homeTucuman1:2
- awayIndependiente Rivadavia1:3
Head to head
- 04/12/26Primera División2:0
- 11/24/25Primera División2:3
- 06/18/17Primera División2:3
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
4
Independiente Rivadavia28157645:3152
Independiente Rivadavia28157645:31525
Boca Juniors281311441:2350
Boca Juniors281311441:23506River Plate301541142:2949
River Plate301541142:29497
Velez Sarsfield281213335:2449
Velez Sarsfield281213335:24498
Gimnasia La Plata291451036:3747
Gimnasia La Plata291451036:37479
Estudiantes281351032:1944
Estudiantes281351032:194410
Huracan291111731:2444
Huracan291111731:244411
Instituto Córdoba26134932:2443
Instituto Córdoba26134932:244312
Independiente28118936:3541
Independiente28118936:354113
Defensa y Justicia271010734:3240
Defensa y Justicia271010734:324014
Lanus27108928:2638
Lanus27108928:263815
Union de Santa Fe291071243:4237
Union de Santa Fe291071243:423716
Gimnasia Mendoza271061128:3436
Gimnasia Mendoza271061128:343617
Barracas Central2698922:2335
Barracas Central2698922:233518Racing Club29981232:3435
Racing Club29981232:343519
Sarmiento261121330:3635
Sarmiento261121330:363520
Talleres de Cordoba28971228:3234
Talleres de Cordoba28971228:3234Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.