Both teams to score
Yes55%
ours 1.83
No45%
ours 2.21
All matches
—
Huracan — Tigre, Primera División
Argentina, Primera División
Huracan
2.0WWWDD
Tigre
1.9LLLLD
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
48%27%25%
Huracan48%Draw27%Tigre25%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Huracan2.09—
XDraw3.73—
2Tigre3.95—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricHuracanTigreCombined
Goals scored0.830.501.33
Conceded0.331.001.33
Corners8.08.08.0
Cards2.32.04.3
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
HuracanTigre
CA Huracán 48%, CA Tigre 25%. The safest is “CA Huracán or draw” at 73%.
CA Huracán 48%Draw 27%CA Tigre 25%
1st half
38 · 41 · 21
2nd half
34 · 39 · 28
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
First half total: Under 1.5
71%
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
Huracan
- homeAldosivi1:0
- awayRiver Plate2:1
- homeRacing Club2:1
- awayBelgrano de Cordoba1:1
- homeEstudiantes de Río Cuarto1:1
Tigre
- awayArgentinos Juniors1:2
- awayVelez Sarsfield2:3
- homeRosario Central0:1
- awayGimnasia La Plata1:2
- homeBarracas Central0:0
Head to head
- 04/21/26Primera División1:1
- 08/08/25Primera División1:0
- 02/07/25Primera División2:0
- 09/19/16Primera División1:1
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
8
Gimnasia La Plata291451036:3747
Gimnasia La Plata291451036:37479
Estudiantes281351032:1944
Estudiantes281351032:194410Huracan291111731:2444
Huracan291111731:244411
Instituto Córdoba26134932:2443
Instituto Córdoba26134932:244312
Independiente28118936:3541
Independiente28118936:354113
Defensa y Justicia271010734:3240
Defensa y Justicia271010734:324014
Lanus27108928:2638
Lanus27108928:263815
Union de Santa Fe291071243:4237
Union de Santa Fe291071243:423716
Gimnasia Mendoza271061128:3436
Gimnasia Mendoza271061128:343617
Barracas Central2698922:2335
Barracas Central2698922:233518
Racing Club29981232:3435
Racing Club29981232:343519
Sarmiento261121330:3635
Sarmiento261121330:363520
Talleres de Cordoba28971228:3234
Talleres de Cordoba28971228:323421
San Lorenzo de Almagro288101020:2734
San Lorenzo de Almagro288101020:273422Tigre27711928:2632
Tigre27711928:263223
Newell's Old Boys27711926:3532
Newell's Old Boys27711926:353224
Tucuman27691224:2927
Tucuman27691224:2927Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.