Bucaramanga 2:0 Inter Bogotá, Primera A
Colombia, Primera AMatch finished
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Match stats
How the match went in numbers.
How the forecast did
In each market the forecast is one outcome: the most likely one before kick-off.
- Match result LandedBucaramanga67%
- Total goals MissedOver 2.550%
Actual: Under 2.5 — we had 50%
- Both teams to score LandedNo56%
The bar is our pre-match probability. The other outcomes in a market are not picks but the probability split: one of home, draw, away always happens.
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Form and context
Bucaramanga
- homeJunior3:1
- awayOnce Caldas3:1
- homeInter Bogotá2:0
- homeIndependiente Medellin2:2
- awayDeportivo Pereira3:1
Inter Bogotá
- homeOnce Caldas1:1
- awayDeportivo Pereira0:0
- awayBucaramanga0:2
- homeAtletico Nacional2:3
- homeLlaneros3:2
Head to head
- 09/20/26Primera A2:0
- 03/14/26Primera A0:0
- 11/09/25Primera A2:1
- 05/17/25Primera A4:1
- 09/28/24Primera A1:0
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
Once Caldas341214849:4150
Millonarios331212950:3548Bucaramanga301113646:3046
Independiente Medellin311371145:4046
Pasto331271438:4643
Rionegro Aguilas3110111036:4241Inter Bogotá349141142:5341
Llaneros328121232:3736
Fortaleza CEIF326151136:4633Full breakdown
Every market of the forecast published before the match.
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.