All matches

Atlanta — Ferrocarril Midland, Prim B Nacional

Argentina, Prim B Nacional

Atlanta
WWDWW
—
Ferrocarril Midland
DLWWL
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Outcome probability
39%32%28%
Atlanta39%Draw32%Ferrocarril Midland28%

Model vs market

Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Atlanta39%2.54—
XDraw32%3.09—
2Ferrocarril Midland28%3.54—

our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price

Quick markets

The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.

Both teams to score

Yes40%

ours 2.50

No60%

ours 1.67

Over 2.5 goals

This market opens with a subscription.

Sign up

Over 9.5 corners

This market opens with a subscription.

Sign up

Combos: result and total

Two events in one forecast. The model scores them together, from the probability of every scoreline — so the link between them is built in: when the home side is stronger, a win and plenty of goals tend to come together.

Combos come with a subscription: probability, fair odds and the market comparison for all 24 combinations.

Sign up

Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricAtlantaFerrocarril MidlandCombined
Goals scored0.670.331.00
Conceded0.330.170.50
Corners11.76.08.8
Cards1.32.03.3
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

The other six metrics — with a subscription

Free full access for 3 days when you sign up

Start freeSign in

Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Confident answers

The line the model is most sure about — and how often such answers have come in.

Goals

This market opens with a subscription.

Sign up

70%of such answers on goals came inlast 60 days · 890 matches

Corners

This market opens with a subscription.

Sign up

69%of such answers on corners came inlast 60 days · 889 matches

Cards

This market opens with a subscription.

Sign up

69%of such answers on cards came inlast 60 days · 886 matches

This is a probability, not a guarantee: roughly 3 answers in 10 don’t come in. Bookmaker odds on these lines are low — this block shows the model’s accuracy, not the value of a bet.

Why the model reads the match this way

Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.

AtlantaFerrocarril Midland

CA Atlanta 39%, CA Ferrocarril Midland 28%. The safest is “CA Atlanta or draw” at 72%.

CA Atlanta 39%Draw 32%CA Ferrocarril Midland 28%
1st half
23 · 54 · 23
2nd half
36 · 40 · 24
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?

The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription

Sign in

More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

Double chance: Home or draw

72%
High variancelow probability, high price

Two more scenarios — with a subscription

Sign in

Form and context

Atlanta

  • awayAtletico Rafaela3:2
  • homeAgropecuario1:0
  • awayTristan Suarez0:0
  • homeGuemes2:0
  • awayChacarita Juniors1:0

Ferrocarril Midland

  • awayAgropecuario0:0
  • homeTristan Suarez0:1
  • awayGuemes2:0
  • homeChacarita Juniors1:0
  • awaySan Martin de San Juan2:3

Head to head

  • 06/13/26Prim B Nacional2:1

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
4Temperley321511638:2656
5Godoy Cruz32167941:2955
6Atlanta321741138:3055
7Gimnasia y Esgrima (Jujuy)32159848:4054
8Deportivo Madryn321411746:2853
9Colon321410839:2552
10Ferrocarril Midland321391035:2548
11Gimnasia y Tiro321391032:2848
12Deportivo Maipu321381139:3147

Full breakdown

Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.

Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription

Free full access for 3 days when you sign up

Start freePlans

Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.