All matches

Buxoro FK — FK Andijan, Uzbekistan Super League

Uzbekistan, Uzbekistan Super League

Buxoro FK
LLLDW
—
FK Andijan
LWLWW
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Outcome probability
42%27%31%
Buxoro FK42%Draw27%FK Andijan31%

Model vs market

Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Buxoro FK42%2.36—
XDraw27%3.76—
2FK Andijan31%3.22—

our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price

Quick markets

The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.

Both teams to score

Yes54%

ours 1.86

No46%

ours 2.16

Over 2.5 goals

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Over 9.5 corners

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Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricBuxoro FKFK AndijanCombined
Goals scored1.830.832.66
Conceded1.831.833.66
Corners8.39.08.7
Cards1.02.03.0
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Confident answers

The line the model is most sure about — and how often such answers have come in.

Goals

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70%of such answers on goals came inlast 60 days · 878 matches

Corners

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70%of such answers on corners came inlast 60 days · 877 matches

Cards

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68%of such answers on cards came inlast 60 days · 874 matches

This is a probability, not a guarantee: roughly 3 answers in 10 don’t come in. Bookmaker odds on these lines are low — this block shows the model’s accuracy, not the value of a bet.

Why the model reads the match this way

Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.

Buxoro FKFK Andijan

Buxoro FK 42%, FK Andijan 31%. The safest is “No draw” at 74%.

Buxoro FK 42%Draw 27%FK Andijan 31%
1st half
30 · 48 · 22
2nd half
32 · 33 · 35
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?

The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription

More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

First half total: Under 1.5

72%
High variancelow probability, high price

Two more scenarios — with a subscription

Form and context

Buxoro FK

  • awayFK Bunyodkor1:2
  • homeFK Navbahor Namangan1:4
  • awayQizilqum Zarafshon PFK2:3
  • awayFK Qo'qon 19121:1
  • homeNeftchi Fargona4:1

FK Andijan

  • homeFC Nasaf Qarshi1:4
  • homeFK Qo'qon 19122:1
  • awayFK Pakhtakor Tashkent0:3
  • homeXorazm FK Urganch1:0
  • awayMash'al Mubarek1:0

Head to head

  • 07/27/26Uzbekistan Super League0:2
  • 11/01/25Uzbekistan Super League1:1
  • 06/13/25Uzbekistan Super League1:1

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
5FK AGMK22105731:2935
6FC Nasaf Qarshi2297633:2134
7Buxoro FK22104832:2934
8PFK Dinamo Samarqand2286833:3430
9FK Andijan22931027:2830
10Qizilqum Zarafshon PFK22921123:3029
11FK Sogdiana Jizak22841038:4328

Full breakdown

Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.