Both teams to score
Yes53%
ours 1.89
No47%
ours 2.12
All matches
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Busan IPark — Gyeongnam, K League 2
South Korea, K League 2
Busan IPark
LWLLD
Gyeongnam
DWWDD
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
49%26%25%
Busan IPark49%Draw26%Gyeongnam25%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Busan IPark2.04—
XDraw3.85—
2Gyeongnam4.01—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricBusan IParkGyeongnamCombined
Goals scored0.500.501.00
Conceded0.670.170.84
Corners8.08.38.1
Cards1.53.04.5
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Confident answers
The line the model is most sure about — and how often such answers have come in.
Goals
This market opens with a subscription.
Sign up70%of such answers on goals came inlast 60 days · 890 matches
Corners
This market opens with a subscription.
Sign up69%of such answers on corners came inlast 60 days · 889 matches
Cards
This market opens with a subscription.
Sign up69%of such answers on cards came inlast 60 days · 886 matches
This is a probability, not a guarantee: roughly 3 answers in 10 don’t come in. Bookmaker odds on these lines are low — this block shows the model’s accuracy, not the value of a bet.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
Busan IParkGyeongnam
Busan I'Park 49%, Gyeongnam FC 25%. The safest is “Busan I'Park or draw” at 75%.
Busan I'Park 49%Draw 26%Gyeongnam FC 25%
1st half
43 · 40 · 17
2nd half
31 · 43 · 26
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Total corners: Under 9.5
67%
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
Busan IPark
- awayGimpo FC0:1
- homeGimhae FC2:0
- homeAnsan Greeners0:1
- awaySuwon FC1:2
- awayDaegu FC1:1
Gyeongnam
- awayYongin FC0:0
- homeSeongnam1:0
- homePaju Frontier1:0
- awayChungbuk Cheongju1:1
- awayGimhae FC1:1
Head to head
- 04/04/26K League 22:1
- 10/05/25K League 21:1
- 08/02/25K League 20:1
- 03/02/25K League 20:1
- 09/22/24K League 21:1
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
4
Daegu FC26137648:3546
Daegu FC26137648:35465
Hwaseong26128641:2744
Hwaseong26128641:27446Busan IPark26125941:3441
Busan IPark26125941:34417
Gimpo FC25811631:3035
Gimpo FC25811631:30358
Chungnam Asan2597934:3134
Chungnam Asan2597934:31349Gyeongnam25810731:3034
Gyeongnam25810731:303410
Seongnam25710828:3031
Seongnam25710828:303111
Paju Frontier25851224:2829
Paju Frontier25851224:2829Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.