Both teams to score
Yes42%
ours 2.37
No58%
ours 1.73
All matches
—
Bursaspor — Mardin Buyuksehir, 1. Lig
Turkey, 1. Lig
Bursaspor
WDWWW
Mardin Buyuksehir
LLWDD
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
53%29%18%
Bursaspor53%Draw29%Mardin Buyuksehir18%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Bursaspor1.90—
XDraw3.44—
2Mardin Buyuksehir5.46—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricBursasporMardin BuyuksehirCombined
Goals scored2.171.173.34
Conceded1.170.832.00
Corners10.57.28.8
Cards2.02.54.5
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
Free full access for 3 days when you sign up
Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Confident answers
The line the model is most sure about — and how often such answers have come in.
Goals
This market opens with a subscription.
Sign up70%of such answers on goals came inlast 60 days · 890 matches
Corners
This market opens with a subscription.
Sign up69%of such answers on corners came inlast 60 days · 889 matches
Cards
This market opens with a subscription.
Sign up69%of such answers on cards came inlast 60 days · 886 matches
This is a probability, not a guarantee: roughly 3 answers in 10 don’t come in. Bookmaker odds on these lines are low — this block shows the model’s accuracy, not the value of a bet.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
BursasporMardin Buyuksehir
Bursaspor 53%, Mardin Büyükşehir Belediyespor 18%. The safest is “Bursaspor or draw” at 82%.
Bursaspor 53%Draw 29%Mardin Büyükşehir Belediyespor 18%
1st half
29 · 49 · 22
2nd half
50 · 38 · 13
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Double chance: No draw
71%
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
Bursaspor
- awayBatman Petrolspor2:1
- homeErokspor2:2
- awayManisa FK2:1
- homeIstanbulspor4:0
- awayKayserispor2:1
Mardin Buyuksehir
- homeKayserispor0:1
- awayIgdir FK0:1
- homeBodrum Belediyesi Bodrum Spor Kulübü1:0
- awaySivasspor2:2
- homeVanspor1:1
Head to head
No head-to-head matches on record.
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1
Kayserispor861115:319
Kayserispor861115:3192Bursaspor861116:719
Bursaspor861116:7193
Igdir FK851212:716
Igdir FK851212:7164
Batman Petrolspor851215:1316
Batman Petrolspor851215:13165
Sariyer842211:914
Sariyer842211:9146
Keciorengucu834117:1013
Keciorengucu834117:10137Mardin Buyuksehir83329:512
Mardin Buyuksehir83329:5128
Antalyaspor840414:1312
Antalyaspor840414:13129
Fatih Karagümrük Spor Kulübü833212:1112
Fatih Karagümrük Spor Kulübü833212:1112Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
Free full access for 3 days when you sign up
Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.