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Bucheon FC 1995 — Pohang Steelers, K League 1: match prediction and stats

Match prediction and stats

South Korea, K League 1

  
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Outcome probability
34%31%36%
Bucheon FC 199534%Draw31%Pohang Steelers36%
Most confident forecast72% of such answers came in · 60 days
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Model and prices

Our probability next to the probability from the price, with the mark-up removed. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelPriceΔ
1Bucheon FC 199534%2.96—
XDraw31%3.27—
2Pohang Steelers36%2.80—

our modelfrom the price, mark-up removed

Quick predictions

The three most common questions — our probability next to the price.

Both teams to score

Yes55%

ours 1.82

No45%

ours 2.22

Over 2.5 goals

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Over 9.5 corners

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Goals and corners — with Premium

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Combos

Combos come with Premium: result and total, result and corners, both teams to score and total — probability, fair price and the comparison with the prices.

Combos — with Premium

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Confident answers

The line where the model is closest to 72% — and how often such answers have come in.

Goals prediction

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72%of such answers on goals came inlast 60 days · 3839 matches

Corners prediction

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71%of such answers on corners came inlast 60 days · 3828 matches

Cards prediction

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71%of such answers on cards came inlast 60 days · 3818 matches

Lines for goals, corners and cards — with Premium

Every pick of the day, full match analysis, scenarios and combos.

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This is a probability, not a guarantee: roughly 3 answers in 10 don’t come in. This block is about the model’s accuracy.

Why the model reads the match this way

Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.

Bucheon FC 1995Pohang Steelers

Bucheon FC 1995 34%, Pohang Steelers FC 36%. The safest is “No draw” at 69%.

Bucheon FC 1995 34%Draw 31%Pohang Steelers FC 36%
1st half
26 · 46 · 28
2nd half
32 · 37 · 31
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?

The full analysis and both conclusions — with Premium

Every pick of the day, full match analysis, scenarios and combos.

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More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

Total shots: Under 27.5

72%
High variancelow probability, high price

Two more scenarios — with Premium

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Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricBucheon FC 1995Pohang SteelersCombined
Goals scored0.601.201.80
Conceded
Corners
Cards
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

The other nine metrics — with Premium

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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Insights

What to know before the match: recent games, the table, head-to-head. Only facts from played matches — no model opinions.

Bucheon FC 1995
  • Winless in 9 matches0:3, 1:2, 0:2, 0:2, 2:2
  • Winless at home in 5 matches0:3, 0:2, 2:2, 0:5, 1:1
  • Conceded in every one of the last 5 matches11 goals conceded
Pohang Steelers
  • Winless away in 5 matches2:2, 0:3, 2:2, 0:2, 0:0
  • Worst attack in the league — 30 goals in 33 matches9th place, 42 points
  • Conceded in 4 of the last 5 matches8 goals conceded

Based on played matches of the current season and recent games. A fact is shown only when it stands out from the usual.

Form and context

Bucheon FC 1995

  • homeGwangju0:3
  • awayUlsan HD1:2
  • awayGangwon0:2
  • homeGimcheon Sangmu0:2
  • homeJeju United2:2

Pohang Steelers

  • awayUlsan HD2:2
  • homeFC Anyang0:0
  • awayIncheon United0:3
  • homeFC Seoul2:1
  • awayDaejeon Hana Citizen2:2

Head to head

  • 08/22/26K League 13:0
  • 05/17/26K League 12:0
  • 03/22/26K League 10:0

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
7Jeju United3312101139:3746
8FC Anyang3310131040:4843
9Pohang Steelers331191330:3942
10Gimcheon Sangmu34520934:4235
11Bucheon FC 1995337111532:4732
12Gwangju343131831:7022

Full breakdown

Every forecast type the model computes. Our probability on the left, our fair price and the current price on the right.

Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with Premium

Every pick of the day, full match analysis, scenarios and combos.

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.