Both teams to score
Yes54%
ours 1.84
No46%
ours 2.18
All matches
—
Bucheon FC 1995 — Gwangju FC, K League 1
South Korea, K League 1
Bucheon FC 1995
LDLLD
Gwangju FC
DDLDL
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
48%27%26%
Bucheon FC 199548%Draw27%Gwangju FC26%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Bucheon FC 19952.10—
XDraw3.72—
2Gwangju FC3.90—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricBucheon FC 1995Gwangju FCCombined
Goals scored0.500.831.33
Conceded1.831.002.83
Corners9.57.38.4
Cards1.81.53.3
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
Free full access for 3 days when you sign up
Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Confident answers
The line the model is most sure about — and how often such answers have come in.
Goals
This market opens with a subscription.
Sign up70%of such answers on goals came inlast 60 days · 878 matches
Corners
This market opens with a subscription.
Sign up70%of such answers on corners came inlast 60 days · 877 matches
Cards
This market opens with a subscription.
Sign up68%of such answers on cards came inlast 60 days · 874 matches
This is a probability, not a guarantee: roughly 3 answers in 10 don’t come in. Bookmaker odds on these lines are low — this block shows the model’s accuracy, not the value of a bet.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
Bucheon FC 1995Gwangju FC
Bucheon FC 1995 48%, Gwangju FC 26%. The safest is “Bucheon FC 1995 or draw” at 76%.
Bucheon FC 1995 48%Draw 27%Gwangju FC 26%
1st half
30 · 47 · 22
2nd half
43 · 38 · 19
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Total goals: Under 3.5
71%
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
Bucheon FC 1995
- homeSangju Sangmu Phoenix FC0:2
- homeJeju United FC2:2
- awayIncheon United FC1:2
- homeDaejeon Citizen FC0:5
- homeFC Anyang1:1
Gwangju FC
- awayJeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC2:2
- homeFC Anyang1:1
- homeJeju United FC0:1
- awaySangju Sangmu Phoenix FC2:2
- homeFC Seoul2:5
Head to head
- 08/08/26K League 10:0
- 04/11/26K League 11:0
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
9
FC Anyang309111038:4738
FC Anyang309111038:473810
Sangju Sangmu Phoenix FC30518730:3633
Sangju Sangmu Phoenix FC30518730:363311Bucheon FC 1995307111231:4032
Bucheon FC 1995307111231:403212Gwangju FC301121721:6315
Gwangju FC301121721:6315Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
Free full access for 3 days when you sign up
Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.