Both teams to score
Yes66%
ours 1.51
No34%
ours 2.97
All matches
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Young Boys — St. Gallen, Super League
Switzerland, Super League
Young Boys
2.4WDDWD
St. Gallen
2.5WLLWL
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
49%24%28%
Young Boys49%Draw24%St. Gallen28%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Young Boys2.06—
XDraw4.23—
2St. Gallen3.59—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricYoung BoysSt. GallenCombined
Goals scored2.501.003.50
Conceded2.001.673.67
Corners10.412.211.3
Cards2.42.04.4
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
Young BoysSt. Gallen
BSC Young Boys 49%, FC Sankt Gallen 1879 28%. The safest is “No draw” at 77%.
BSC Young Boys 49%Draw 24%FC Sankt Gallen 1879 28%
1st half
42 · 34 · 24
2nd half
35 · 34 · 32
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
First half total: Under 2.5
71%
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
Young Boys
- homeServette3:2
- awayLugano2:2
- homeLuzern3:3
- awayZurich4:2
- homeBasel3:3
St. Gallen
- awayBasel3:1
- awayLugano1:4
- homeSion0:3
- awayServette2:0
- awayGrasshopper0:2
Head to head
- 04/26/26Super League1:2
- 02/11/26Super League1:2
- 11/09/25Super League4:1
- 10/19/25Super League1:2
- 03/29/25Super League1:0
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1
Lugano981027:725
Lugano981027:7252Young Boys954031:1819
Young Boys954031:18193
Sion961223:1419
Sion961223:14194
Basel941417:1713
Basel941417:17135St. Gallen941416:1913
St. Gallen941416:19136
Luzern933317:1812
Luzern933317:18127
Zurich932414:2011
Zurich932414:2011Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.