Both teams to score
Yes61%
ours 1.63book 1.43
No39%
ours 2.58book 2.59
All matches
Brooklyn FC — Birmingham Legion, USL Championship
USA, USL Championship
Brooklyn FC
1.3WLLLD
Birmingham Legion
1.4DWLWL
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
35%24%41%
Brooklyn FCMarket 2.5135%DrawMarket 3.4624%Birmingham LegionMarket 2.3241%
Model vs market
Our probability against the market’s — the bookmaker price with its margin removed. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Brooklyn FC2.902.51-1.1
XDraw4.143.46-1.7
2Birmingham Legion2.422.32+2.8
our modelmarket — bookmaker price, margin removed
Quick markets
The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.
Over 2.5 goals
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Over 9.5 corners
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Goals and corners — with Premium
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Combos
Combos come with Premium: result and total, result and corners, both teams to score and total — probability, fair odds and the market comparison.
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Confident answers
The line where the model is closest to 72% — and how often such answers have come in.
Goals
This market opens with Premium.
71%of such answers on goals came inlast 60 days · 2671 matches
Corners
This market opens with Premium.
71%of such answers on corners came inlast 60 days · 2666 matches
Cards
This market opens with Premium.
71%of such answers on cards came inlast 60 days · 2655 matches
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This is a probability, not a guarantee: roughly 3 answers in 10 don’t come in. Bookmaker odds on these lines are low — this block is about the model’s accuracy.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
Brooklyn FCBirmingham Legion
Brooklyn FC 35%, Birmingham Legion FC 41%. The safest is “No draw” at 74%.
Brooklyn FC 35%Draw 24%Birmingham Legion FC 41%
1st half
26 · 37 · 37
2nd half
27 · 34 · 39
Bookmakers: 2.51 · 3.46 · 2.32
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
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More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Total goals: Over 2.5
66%1.47
Two more scenarios — with Premium
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Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricBrooklyn FCBirmingham LegionCombined
Goals scored1.401.002.40
Conceded2.801.003.80
Corners6.69.68.1
Cards1.21.42.6
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Insights
What to know before the match: recent games, the table, head-to-head. Only facts from played matches — no model opinions.
Brooklyn FC- Conceded in every one of the last 5 matches14 goals conceded
- Winless at home in 4 matches1:3, 1:3, 2:2, 1:1, 4:1
- Relegation zone: 24th of 25
Birmingham Legion- 3 clean sheets in the last 50:0, 1:0, 0:1, 4:0, 0:4
Based on played matches of the current season and recent games. A fact is shown only when it stands out from the usual.
Form and context
Brooklyn FC
- awayHartford Athletic3:2
- homeRhode Island FC1:3
- homeDetroit City1:3
- awayBirmingham Legion0:4
- homeTulsa2:2
Birmingham Legion
- homeLoudoun United0:0
- awaySporting Jacksonville1:0
- awayDetroit City0:1
- homeBrooklyn FC4:0
- awayTampa Bay Rowdies0:4
Head to head
- 09/23/26USL Championship0:4
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
20
Indy Eleven29971335:4034
Indy Eleven29971335:403421
Loudoun United295131134:4528
Loudoun United295131134:452822Birmingham Legion285121137:4327
Birmingham Legion285121137:432723
Monterey Bay29561830:5121
Monterey Bay29561830:512124Brooklyn FC28561730:5721
Brooklyn FC28561730:572125
Sporting Jacksonville28352032:7414
Sporting Jacksonville28352032:7414Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.