All matches

Bromley — Peterborough United, EFL League One

England, EFL League One

Bromley
WDLLL
—
Peterborough United
LLDLD
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Outcome probability
34%24%42%
Bromley34%Draw24%Peterborough United42%

Model vs market

Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Bromley34%2.93—
XDraw24%4.17—
2Peterborough United42%2.39—

our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price

Quick markets

The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.

Both teams to score

Yes61%

ours 1.64

No39%

ours 2.57

Over 2.5 goals

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Over 9.5 corners

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Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricBromleyPeterborough UnitedCombined
Goals scored0.330.000.33
Conceded0.170.500.67
Corners13.010.511.8
Cards2.02.54.5
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

The other six metrics — with a subscription

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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Confident answers

The line the model is most sure about — and how often such answers have come in.

Goals

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70%of such answers on goals came inlast 60 days · 890 matches

Corners

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69%of such answers on corners came inlast 60 days · 889 matches

Cards

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69%of such answers on cards came inlast 60 days · 886 matches

This is a probability, not a guarantee: roughly 3 answers in 10 don’t come in. Bookmaker odds on these lines are low — this block shows the model’s accuracy, not the value of a bet.

Why the model reads the match this way

Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.

BromleyPeterborough United

Bromley FC 34%, Peterborough United FC 42%. The safest is “No draw” at 76%.

Bromley FC 34%Draw 24%Peterborough United FC 42%
1st half
23 · 41 · 36
2nd half
36 · 29 · 35
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?

The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription

More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

First half total: Over 0.5

72%
High variancelow probability, high price

Two more scenarios — with a subscription

Form and context

Bromley

  • homeHuddersfield Town2:1
  • awayBlackpool2:2
  • homeAFC Wimbledon0:2
  • homeLeyton Orient0:5
  • awaySheffield Wednesday FC2:7

Peterborough United

  • awayStockport County0:1
  • homeDoncaster Rovers0:2
  • awayMK Dons1:1
  • homeSheffield Wednesday FC1:2
  • homeStevenage0:0

Head to head

No head-to-head matches on record.

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
17Mansfield Town722310:138
18Barnsley72237:128
19Bromley72238:188
20Notts County71427:97
21Doncaster Rovers71338:96
22MK Dons70618:106
23Peterborough United81254:135
24Wigan Athletic71155:124

Full breakdown

Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.