Both teams to score
Yes58%
ours 1.72
No42%
ours 2.40
All matches
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Bristol City — Wolverhampton, Championship
England, Championship
Bristol City
1.8WLLWW
Wolverhampton
1.1WWDLW
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
39%26%34%
Bristol City39%Draw26%Wolverhampton34%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Bristol City2.53—
XDraw3.83—
2Wolverhampton2.91—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricBristol CityWolverhamptonCombined
Goals scored0.170.000.17
Conceded0.000.000.00
Corners7.0——
Cards2.0——
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
Bristol CityWolverhampton
Bristol City FC 39%, Wolverhampton Wanderers FC 34%. The safest is “No draw” at 74%.
Bristol City FC 39%Draw 26%Wolverhampton Wanderers FC 34%
1st half
37 · 36 · 26
2nd half
27 · 39 · 33
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Total goals: Under 3.5
68%
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
Bristol City
- homeWatford1:0
- homeLincoln City0:1
- awaySouthampton1:4
- awayBurnley2:1
- awayPreston3:1
Wolverhampton
- homeWest Bromwich1:0
- awaySheffield United1:0
- awayBirmingham City2:2
- awayWest Ham2:4
- homeStoke City4:1
Head to head
No head-to-head matches on record.
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
3
Middlesbrough843116:1215
Middlesbrough843116:12154
Southampton842219:1014
Southampton842219:10145Wolverhampton742115:1014
Wolverhampton742115:10146
West Bromwich842210:814
West Bromwich842210:8147
QPR834110:713
QPR834110:7138
Stoke City841313:1213
Stoke City841313:12139Bristol City841311:1213
Bristol City841311:121310
Charlton Athletic83327:1012
Charlton Athletic83327:101211
Birmingham City825112:1111
Birmingham City825112:1111Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.