Both teams to score
Yes55%
ours 1.82
No45%
ours 2.22
All matches
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Brisbane Roar — Perth Glory, A-League
Australia, A-League
Brisbane Roar
1.1LLDDL
Perth Glory
1.2WDWDD
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
43%25%31%
Brisbane Roar43%Draw25%Perth Glory31%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Brisbane Roar2.30—
XDraw3.93—
2Perth Glory3.21—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricBrisbane RoarPerth GloryCombined
Goals scored1.331.332.66
Conceded1.830.832.66
Corners10.37.08.7
Cards2.02.44.4
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
Brisbane RoarPerth Glory
Brisbane Roar FC 43%, Perth Glory FC 31%. The safest is “Brisbane Roar FC or draw” at 75%.
Brisbane Roar FC 43%Draw 25%Perth Glory FC 31%
1st half
41 · 38 · 22
2nd half
36 · 37 · 27
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Total cards: Over 2.5
72%
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
Brisbane Roar
- awayPerth Glory1:2
- homeMelbourne City2:3
- awayCentral Coast Mariners2:2
- homeSydney0:0
- homeWellington Phoenix1:2
Perth Glory
- homeBrisbane Roar2:1
- awaySydney0:0
- homeMacarthur3:1
- awayCentral Coast Mariners2:2
- homeMelbourne City1:1
Head to head
- 04/25/26A-League1:2
- 02/28/26A-League1:1
- 01/16/26A-League2:1
- 03/15/25A-League3:1
- 12/21/24A-League0:1
Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
Free full access for 3 days when you sign up
Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.