Both teams to score
Yes54%
ours 1.86
No46%
ours 2.17
All matches
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Brisbane Roar — Auckland, A-League
Australia, A-League
Brisbane Roar
1.1LLDDL
Auckland
2.6WWDDD
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
29%24%47%
Brisbane Roar29%Draw24%Auckland47%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Brisbane Roar3.43—
XDraw4.12—
2Auckland2.15—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricBrisbane RoarAucklandCombined
Goals scored1.001.002.00
Conceded1.500.331.83
Corners10.49.810.1
Cards2.03.05.0
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
Brisbane RoarAuckland
Brisbane Roar FC 29%, Auckland FC 47%. The safest is “No draw” at 74%.
Brisbane Roar FC 29%Draw 24%Auckland FC 47%
1st half
34 · 39 · 28
2nd half
28 · 39 · 34
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Total goals: Over 1.5
70%
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
Brisbane Roar
- awayPerth Glory1:2
- homeMelbourne City2:3
- awayCentral Coast Mariners2:2
- homeSydney0:0
- homeWellington Phoenix1:2
Auckland
- homeSydney1:0
- awayAdelaide United3:0
- homeAdelaide United1:1
- homeMelbourne City1:1
- awaySydney2:2
Head to head
- 01/09/26A-League0:2
- 11/23/25A-League1:1
- 03/30/25A-League0:2
- 10/19/24A-League0:2
Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.