Both teams to score
Yes59%
ours 1.71
No41%
ours 2.42
All matches
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Botafogo — CA Mineiro, Serie A
Brazil, Serie A
Botafogo
2.6LWDDL
CA Mineiro
2.0WDWLW
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
50%25%24%
Botafogo50%Draw25%CA Mineiro24%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Botafogo1.98—
XDraw3.96—
2CA Mineiro4.13—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricBotafogoCA MineiroCombined
Goals scored0.000.170.17
Conceded0.330.000.33
Corners7.015.011.0
Cards1.01.02.0
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
BotafogoCA Mineiro
Botafogo FR 50%, CA Mineiro 24%. The safest is “No draw” at 75%.
Botafogo FR 50%Draw 25%CA Mineiro 24%
1st half
37 · 38 · 25
2nd half
40 · 35 · 25
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
First half total: Over 0.5
69%
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
Botafogo
- awayMirassol0:2
- homeGremio3:2
- homeRed Bull Bragantino1:1
- homePalmeiras0:0
- awayFlamengo0:3
CA Mineiro
- homeRed Bull Bragantino1:0
- homeChapecoense1:1
- homeFluminense3:1
- awaySao Paulo0:2
- homeVitoria2:1
Head to head
- 05/10/26Serie A1:1
- 09/20/25Serie A1:0
- 04/20/25Serie A0:1
- 11/21/24Serie A0:0
- 07/07/24Serie A3:0
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
5
Bahia281210643:3546
Bahia281210643:35466
Cruzeiro28136942:4045
Cruzeiro28136942:40457CA Mineiro28127937:3243
CA Mineiro28127937:32438
Santos28118943:4141
Santos28118943:41419
Coritiba281081037:4338
Coritiba281081037:433810
Sao Paulo281061233:3236
Sao Paulo281061233:323611
Red Bull Bragantino281061233:3236
Red Bull Bragantino281061233:323612Botafogo28981141:4535
Botafogo28981141:453513
Vitoria28961328:4233
Vitoria28961328:423314
Corinthians28881229:3232
Corinthians28881229:3232Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
Free full access for 3 days when you sign up
Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.