Both teams to score
Yes56%
ours 1.80
No44%
ours 2.26
All matches
—
Botafogo-SP — Ceara, Serie B
Brazil, Serie B
Botafogo-SP
1.3LWDLL
Ceara
1.7WDWDL
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
42%26%32%
Botafogo-SP42%Draw26%Ceara32%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Botafogo-SP2.38—
XDraw3.82—
2Ceara3.14—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricBotafogo-SPCearaCombined
Goals scored0.831.172.00
Conceded1.331.002.33
Corners10.410.810.6
Cards2.82.85.6
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
Botafogo-SPCeara
Botafogo FC Ribeirão Preto 42%, Ceará SC 32%. The safest is “No draw” at 75%.
Botafogo FC Ribeirão Preto 42%Draw 26%Ceará SC 32%
1st half
38 · 41 · 21
2nd half
31 · 38 · 32
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Total corners: Over 8.5
71%
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
Botafogo-SP
- homeVila Nova0:1
- homePonte Preta2:0
- awayAthletic (MG)1:1
- homeGoias1:3
- homeGremio Novorizontino1:3
Ceara
- awayAvai1:0
- awayOperario Ferroviario2:2
- homeGremio Novorizontino2:1
- awayFortaleza1:1
- awayAC Goianiense1:2
Head to head
- 06/20/26Serie B1:0
- 11/13/24Serie B1:4
- 07/26/24Serie B1:4
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
13
Nautico311191139:3842
Nautico311191139:384214
Goias311261330:3942
Goias311261330:394215Ceara311091234:3939
Ceara311091234:393916Botafogo-SP31981434:3735
Botafogo-SP31981434:373517
Avai31861730:4230
Avai31861730:423018
Londrina31771739:4528
Londrina31771739:4528Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.