Both teams to score
Yes55%
ours 1.81
No45%
ours 2.24
All matches
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Blackburn Rovers — Wrexham, Championship
England, Championship
Blackburn Rovers
1.4DWLLD
Wrexham
2.1WLDDW
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
42%27%31%
Blackburn Rovers42%Draw27%Wrexham31%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Blackburn Rovers2.37—
XDraw3.74—
2Wrexham3.23—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricBlackburn RoversWrexhamCombined
Goals scored1.000.501.50
Conceded0.831.332.16
Corners11.37.39.3
Cards2.31.03.3
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
Blackburn RoversWrexham
Blackburn Rovers FC 42%, Wrexham FC 31%. The safest is “No draw” at 73%.
Blackburn Rovers FC 42%Draw 27%Wrexham FC 31%
1st half
37 · 39 · 24
2nd half
33 · 40 · 27
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Double chance: Home or draw
72%
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
Blackburn Rovers
- awayPortsmouth2:2
- homeMillwall3:1
- homeSheffield United1:2
- awayPreston1:2
- awayLincoln City0:0
Wrexham
- homeSouthampton2:1
- awayWest Ham0:6
- homeBurnley1:1
- awaySwansea City0:0
- awayMillwall3:0
Head to head
- 01/01/26Championship0:2
- 11/29/25Championship1:1
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
12
Millwall832315:1511
Millwall832315:151113
Lincoln City83237:811
Lincoln City83237:81114Wrexham82429:1210
Wrexham82429:121015
Bolton Wanderers831411:1510
Bolton Wanderers831411:151016Blackburn Rovers823312:129
Blackburn Rovers823312:12917
Norwich City830516:179
Norwich City830516:17918
Sheffield United82339:119
Sheffield United82339:119Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.