Both teams to score
Yes65%
ours 1.53
No35%
ours 2.88
All matches
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Beitar Jerusalem — Maccabi Tel Aviv, Israeli Premier League
Israel, Israeli Premier League
Beitar Jerusalem
3.3WWWLL
Maccabi Tel Aviv
2.9WWWWD
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
38%26%37%
Beitar Jerusalem38%Draw26%Maccabi Tel Aviv37%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Beitar Jerusalem2.66—
XDraw3.91—
2Maccabi Tel Aviv2.71—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricBeitar JerusalemMaccabi Tel AvivCombined
Goals scored1.172.333.50
Conceded1.500.832.33
Corners6.49.68.0
Cards3.22.25.4
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
Beitar JerusalemMaccabi Tel Aviv
Beitar Jerusalem FC 38%, Maccabi Tel Aviv FC 37%. The safest is “No draw” at 75%.
Beitar Jerusalem FC 38%Draw 26%Maccabi Tel Aviv FC 37%
1st half
31 · 41 · 28
2nd half
30 · 35 · 34
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Total goals: Over 2.5
71%
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
Beitar Jerusalem
- homeHapoel Haifa2:1
- homeMaccabi Petah Tikva3:1
- awayIhoud Bnei Sakhnin1:0
- awayHapoel Tel Aviv0:3
- homeMaccabi Netanya1:4
Maccabi Tel Aviv
- awayMaccabi Netanya2:1
- homeHapoel Tel Aviv4:1
- awayHapoel Be'er Sheva4:1
- homeMaccabi Haifa3:1
- homeLugano1:1
Head to head
- 05/16/26Israeli Premier League2:1
- 05/02/26Israeli Premier League4:2
- 02/16/26Israeli Premier League0:0
- 02/14/26Israeli Premier League0:0
- 11/09/25Israeli Premier League6:2
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1Maccabi Tel Aviv550018:615
Maccabi Tel Aviv550018:6152
Maccabi Haifa540112:712
Maccabi Haifa540112:7123
Hapoel Tel Aviv531111:410
Hapoel Tel Aviv531111:4104
Hapoel Be'er Sheva53118:710
Hapoel Be'er Sheva53118:7105Beitar Jerusalem53027:99
Beitar Jerusalem53027:996
Hapoel Katamon Jerusalem521212:127
Hapoel Katamon Jerusalem521212:1277
Ironi Tiberias52127:87
Ironi Tiberias52127:87Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.