Both teams to score
Yes57%
ours 1.75
No43%
ours 2.34
All matches
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Beijing Guoan FC — Qingdao Youth Island FC, Chinese Super League
China, Chinese Super League
Beijing Guoan FC
DDDWW
Qingdao Youth Island FC
DDWDD
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
59%24%18%
Beijing Guoan FC59%Draw24%Qingdao Youth Island FC18%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Beijing Guoan FC1.71—
XDraw4.20—
2Qingdao Youth Island FC5.66—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricBeijing Guoan FCQingdao Youth Island FCCombined
Goals scored1.830.832.66
Conceded1.000.501.50
Corners11.68.810.2
Cards2.21.43.6
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Confident answers
The line the model is most sure about — and how often such answers have come in.
Goals
This market opens with a subscription.
Sign up70%of such answers on goals came inlast 60 days · 890 matches
Corners
This market opens with a subscription.
Sign up69%of such answers on corners came inlast 60 days · 889 matches
Cards
This market opens with a subscription.
Sign up69%of such answers on cards came inlast 60 days · 886 matches
This is a probability, not a guarantee: roughly 3 answers in 10 don’t come in. Bookmaker odds on these lines are low — this block shows the model’s accuracy, not the value of a bet.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
Beijing Guoan FCQingdao Youth Island FC
Beijing Guoan FC 59%, Qingdao Youth Island FC 18%. The safest is “Beijing Guoan FC or draw” at 82%.
Beijing Guoan FC 59%Draw 24%Qingdao Youth Island FC 18%
1st half
45 · 36 · 18
2nd half
47 · 32 · 21
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Total corners: Under 12.5
71%
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
Beijing Guoan FC
- awayShanghai SIPG FC0:0
- awayDalian Zhixing FC1:1
- homeYunnan Yukun FC3:3
- awayShanghai Shenhua FC3:0
- awayTianjin Teda FC4:2
Qingdao Youth Island FC
- awayWuhan Three Towns FC2:2
- awayTianjin Teda FC1:1
- homeShandong Luneng Taishan FC2:0
- homeChongqing Tongliang Long FC0:0
- awayHenan Jianye FC0:0
Head to head
- 05/19/26Chinese Super League1:1
- 08/16/25Chinese Super League3:1
- 06/17/25Chinese Super League1:0
- 08/11/24Chinese Super League2:2
- 04/21/24Chinese Super League4:1
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1
Chengdu Better City FC26157451:3052
Chengdu Better City FC26157451:30522Beijing Guoan FC261110549:3343
Beijing Guoan FC261110549:33433
Shandong Luneng Taishan FC26134946:4343
Shandong Luneng Taishan FC26134946:43434
Shanghai Shenhua FC26125952:4641
Shanghai Shenhua FC26125952:46415
Dalian Zhixing FC261241038:4240
Dalian Zhixing FC261241038:42406
Shanghai SIPG FC26108840:3338
Shanghai SIPG FC26108840:33387
Yunnan Yukun FC261151054:5138
Yunnan Yukun FC261151054:51388Qingdao Youth Island FC26814431:3238
Qingdao Youth Island FC26814431:32389
Zhejiang Professional FC261061045:4336
Zhejiang Professional FC261061045:433610
Tianjin Teda FC2698936:3235
Tianjin Teda FC2698936:3235Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
Free full access for 3 days when you sign up
Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.