All matches

Bangor — Dungannon Swifts, NIFL Premiership

Northern Ireland, NIFL Premiership

Bangor
1.2LLWLD
—
Dungannon Swifts
1.7LDLLW
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Outcome probability
32%22%46%
Bangor32%Draw22%Dungannon Swifts46%

Model vs market

Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Bangor32%3.08—
XDraw22%4.61—
2Dungannon Swifts46%2.18—

our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price

Quick markets

The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.

Both teams to score

Yes57%

ours 1.77

No43%

ours 2.30

Over 2.5 goals

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Over 9.5 corners

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Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricBangorDungannon SwiftsCombined
Goals scored1.330.501.83
Conceded1.671.172.84
Corners9.611.610.6
Cards0.82.02.8
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Why the model reads the match this way

Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.

BangorDungannon Swifts

Bangor FC 32%, Dungannon Swifts FC 46%. The safest is “No draw” at 77%.

Bangor FC 32%Draw 22%Dungannon Swifts FC 46%
1st half
29 · 36 · 35
2nd half
31 · 39 · 31
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?

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More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

Total corners: Under 10.5

69%
High variancelow probability, high price

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Form and context

Bangor

  • homeColeraine2:3
  • awayCrusaders1:2
  • homePortadown3:1
  • awayLimavady United1:3
  • awayGlentoran1:1

Dungannon Swifts

  • awayGlentoran0:2
  • homeBallymena United1:1
  • awayCrusaders0:3
  • homeLinfield0:1
  • awayLimavady United2:0

Head to head

  • 08/22/26NIFL Premiership0:2
  • 03/21/26NIFL Premiership1:0
  • 12/26/25NIFL Premiership0:1
  • 08/30/25NIFL Premiership2:1

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
5Crusaders1050515:1815
6Carrick Rangers1041515:1513
7Dungannon Swifts94149:1013
8Ballymena United933313:1112
9Cliftonville1040612:1212
10Limavady United93159:1310
11Bangor1012710:225
12Portadown100287:212

Full breakdown

Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.