B68 Toftir — NSI Runavik, Premier League

Faroe Islands, Premier LeagueOctober 31 at 03:00 PM

B68 Toftir

1.2LDDLL

—

NSI Runavik

3.1WDWDW

Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Outcome probability

15%75%

B68 Toftir10%Draw15%NSI Runavik75%

Model vs market

Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ

1B68 Toftir10%10.04—

XDraw15%6.61—

2NSI Runavik75%1.34—

our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price

Quick markets

The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.

Both teams to score

Yes58%

ours 1.71

No42%

ours 2.40

Over 2.5 goals

This market opens with a subscription.

Over 9.5 corners

This market opens with a subscription.

Combos

Three kinds of combos — the most likely combination in each. The most likely of the three is highlighted. Every combination is in the tables below.

Combos come with a subscription: result and total, result and corners, both teams to score and total — probability, fair odds and the market comparison.

Confident answers

The line the model is most sure about — and how often such answers have come in.

Goals

This market opens with a subscription.

70%of such answers on goals came inlast 60 days · 1377 matches

Corners

This market opens with a subscription.

71%of such answers on corners came inlast 60 days · 1376 matches

Cards

This market opens with a subscription.

70%of such answers on cards came inlast 60 days · 1368 matches

This is a probability, not a guarantee: roughly 3 answers in 10 don’t come in. Bookmaker odds on these lines are low — this block shows the model’s accuracy, not the value of a bet.

Why the model reads the match this way

Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.

B68 ToftirNSI Runavik

B68 Toftir 10%, NSÍ Runavík 75%. The safest is “NSÍ Runavík or draw” at 88%.

B68 Toftir 10%Draw 15%NSÍ Runavík 75%

1st half

10 · 35 · 54

2nd half

19 · 26 · 56

Both teams to score?

How many goals?

How many corners?

How many yellow cards?

How many shots?

How many fouls?

How many offsides?

The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription

More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price

Basebalance of probability and price

Total cards: Under 4.5

71%

High variancelow probability, high price

Two more scenarios — with a subscription

Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricB68 ToftirNSI RunavikCombined

Goals scored0.671.001.67

Conceded0.830.501.33

Corners8.311.39.8

Cards2.72.75.3

Offsides

Throw-ins

Fouls

Shots

Shots on target

The other six metrics — with a subscription

Free full access for 3 days when you sign up

Start free Sign in

Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.