All matches

Audax Italiano — Huachipato, Primera División

Chile, Primera División

Audax Italiano
1.9WWLDD
—
Huachipato
1.7WDLLL
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Outcome probability
55%22%24%
Audax Italiano55%Draw22%Huachipato24%

Model vs market

Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Audax Italiano55%1.83—
XDraw22%4.62—
2Huachipato24%4.21—

our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price

Quick markets

The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.

Both teams to score

Yes56%

ours 1.77

No44%

ours 2.30

Over 2.5 goals

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Over 9.5 corners

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Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricAudax ItalianoHuachipatoCombined
Goals scored0.670.671.34
Conceded1.001.332.33
Corners10.89.510.2
Cards3.41.85.2
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Why the model reads the match this way

Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.

Audax ItalianoHuachipato

Audax Italiano La Florida SADP 55%, CD Huachipato 24%. The safest is “No draw” at 79%.

Audax Italiano La Florida SADP 55%Draw 22%CD Huachipato 24%
1st half
45 · 36 · 19
2nd half
37 · 37 · 26
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?

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More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

Total cards: Under 5.5

72%
High variancelow probability, high price

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Form and context

Audax Italiano

  • homeO'Higgins1:0
  • awayConcepcion1:0
  • awayColo-Colo1:5
  • homeUnion La Calera0:0
  • awayEverton Vina del Mar1:1

Huachipato

  • awayUniversidad de Concepcion2:0
  • homeColo-Colo0:0
  • homeDeportes Limache1:3
  • awayPalestino1:5
  • homeEverton Vina del Mar1:4

Head to head

  • 04/20/26Primera División2:3
  • 11/09/25Primera División1:2
  • 05/26/25Primera División4:3
  • 10/20/24Primera División0:2
  • 05/21/24Primera División1:0

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
9La Serena2379734:3830
10Coquimbo Unido2285931:3129
11Audax Italiano2377926:3128
12Huachipato22841031:3928
13O'Higgins23831228:3627
14Union La Calera23651223:3523

Full breakdown

Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.