All matches

Atlético JBG — CD Independiente Juniors, Primera Categoría Serie B

Ecuador, Primera Categoría Serie B

Atlético JBG
WWWDW
—
CD Independiente Juniors
WWLDL
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Outcome probability
37%30%33%
Atlético JBG37%Draw30%CD Independiente Juniors33%

Model vs market

Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Atlético JBG37%2.69—
XDraw30%3.37—
2CD Independiente Juniors33%3.02—

our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price

Quick markets

The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.

Both teams to score

Yes48%

ours 2.07

No52%

ours 1.93

Over 2.5 goals

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Over 9.5 corners

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Combos

Three kinds of combos — the most likely combination in each. The most likely of the three is highlighted. Every combination is in the tables below.

Combos come with a subscription: result and total, result and corners, both teams to score and total — probability, fair odds and the market comparison.

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Confident answers

The line the model is most sure about — and how often such answers have come in.

Goals

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70%of such answers on goals came inlast 60 days · 890 matches

Corners

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69%of such answers on corners came inlast 60 days · 889 matches

Cards

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69%of such answers on cards came inlast 60 days · 886 matches

This is a probability, not a guarantee: roughly 3 answers in 10 don’t come in. Bookmaker odds on these lines are low — this block shows the model’s accuracy, not the value of a bet.

Why the model reads the match this way

Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.

Atlético JBGCD Independiente Juniors

Atlético JBG 37%, CD Independiente Juniors 33%. The safest is “No draw” at 70%.

Atlético JBG 37%Draw 30%CD Independiente Juniors 33%
1st half
32 · 40 · 28
2nd half
26 · 49 · 25
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?

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More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

First half total: Over 0.5

72%
High variancelow probability, high price

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Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricAtlético JBGCD Independiente JuniorsCombined
Goals scored1.831.333.16
Conceded0.671.171.84
Corners8.55.57.0
Cards0.00.00.0
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Form and context

Atlético JBG

  • homeEl San Antonio Fútbol Club2:1
  • awayClub Nueve de Octubre1:0
  • homeDeportivo Cuenca Juniors2:0
  • awayCD Independiente Juniors1:1
  • awayEl San Antonio Fútbol Club3:0

CD Independiente Juniors

  • homeClub Nueve de Octubre1:0
  • awayDeportivo Cuenca Juniors2:0
  • homeCuniburo Fútbol Club2:3
  • homeAtlético JBG1:1
  • awayClub Nueve de Octubre1:3

Head to head

  • 09/17/26Primera Categoría Serie B1:1
  • 07/11/26Primera Categoría Serie B0:0
  • 04/22/26Primera Categoría Serie B1:1

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1Atlético JBG291313336:1952
2CD Independiente Juniors301311636:2450
3Cuniburo Fútbol Club29139737:2248
4Gualaceo SC29129831:2045

Full breakdown

Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.