Both teams to score
Yes47%
ours 2.14
No53%
ours 1.88
All matches
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Athletic Bilbao — Getafe, La Liga
Spain, La Liga
Athletic Bilbao
2.1DDWWL
Getafe
1.7WLDDL
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
53%27%21%
Athletic Bilbao53%Draw27%Getafe21%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Athletic Bilbao1.90—
XDraw3.77—
2Getafe4.83—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricAthletic BilbaoGetafeCombined
Goals scored0.670.170.84
Conceded0.170.170.34
Corners8.310.59.4
Cards1.74.05.7
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
Athletic BilbaoGetafe
Athletic Club Bilbao 53%, Getafe Club de Fútbol 21%. The safest is “Athletic Club Bilbao or draw” at 82%.
Athletic Club Bilbao 53%Draw 27%Getafe Club de Fútbol 21%
1st half
39 · 45 · 16
2nd half
38 · 39 · 23
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Most corners: Home
71%
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
Athletic Bilbao
- homeAlaves0:0
- homeElche1:1
- homeAtletico Madrid3:0
- awayCelta Vigo2:0
- awayBarcelona0:2
Getafe
- homeMalaga1:0
- awayReal Betis0:1
- homeDeportivo La Coruna1:1
- homeCelta Vigo1:1
- awayOsasuna0:1
Head to head
- 04/05/26La Liga0:2
- 10/25/25La Liga0:1
- 05/15/25La Liga2:0
- 08/15/24La Liga1:1
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
8
Real Sociedad73139:1310
Real Sociedad73139:13109
Villarreal722313:128
Villarreal722313:12810Athletic Bilbao62227:68
Athletic Bilbao62227:6811Getafe72234:78
Getafe72234:7812
Rayo Vallecano722311:168
Rayo Vallecano722311:16813
Osasuna72236:138
Osasuna72236:138Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.