Both teams to score
Yes57%
ours 1.77
No43%
ours 2.31
All matches
Associação Ferroviária de Esportes — Maringa, Serie C
Brazil, Serie C
Associação Ferroviária de Esportes
2.5DWLDW
Maringa
2.2DWDDW
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
46%28%26%
Associação Ferroviária de EsportesMarket 1.8746%DrawMarket 2.9028%MaringaMarket 4.6826%
Model vs market
Our probability against the market’s — the bookmaker price with its margin removed. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Associação Ferroviária de Esportes2.171.87-2.8
XDraw3.602.90-3.7
2Maringa3.834.68+6.6
our modelmarket — bookmaker price, margin removed
Quick markets
The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.
Over 2.5 goals
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Over 9.5 corners
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Goals and corners — with Premium
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Combos
Combos come with Premium: result and total, result and corners, both teams to score and total — probability, fair odds and the market comparison.
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Confident answers
The line where the model is closest to 72% — and how often such answers have come in.
Goals
This market opens with Premium.
70%of such answers on goals came inlast 60 days · 1969 matches
Corners
This market opens with Premium.
71%of such answers on corners came inlast 60 days · 1965 matches
Cards
This market opens with Premium.
71%of such answers on cards came inlast 60 days · 1955 matches
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This is a probability, not a guarantee: roughly 3 answers in 10 don’t come in. Bookmaker odds on these lines are low — this block is about the model’s accuracy.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
Associação Ferroviária de EsportesMaringa
Associação Ferroviária de Esportes 46%, Maringá FC 26%. The safest is “No draw” at 74%.
Associação Ferroviária de Esportes 46%Draw 28%Maringá FC 26%
1st half
30 · 49 · 21
2nd half
36 · 33 · 32
Bookmakers: 1.87 · 2.90 · 4.68
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
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More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Total corners: Over 8.5
72%
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Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricAssociação Ferroviária de EsportesMaringaCombined
Goals scored1.401.202.60
Conceded1.000.401.40
Corners11.411.611.5
Cards2.21.84.0
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Form and context
Associação Ferroviária de Esportes
- awayMaringa1:1
- homeInter de Limeira2:0
- awayPaysandu SC0:1
- awayBrusque FC1:1
- homeBrusque FC3:2
Maringa
- homeAssociação Ferroviária de Esportes1:1
- homeFloresta2:0
- awaySanta Cruz1:1
- awayBotafogo-PB0:0
- homeBotafogo-PB2:0
Head to head
- 10/17/26Serie C1:1
- 04/04/26Serie C2:3
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1Associação Ferroviária de Esportes26119633:2342
Associação Ferroviária de Esportes26119633:23422Maringa26119639:3342
Maringa26119639:33423
Santa Cruz25117725:1840
Santa Cruz25117725:18404
Brusque FC25109638:3239
Brusque FC25109638:3239Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.