Both teams to score
Yes61%
ours 1.64
No39%
ours 2.56
All matches
—
Åsane Fotball — Sogndal Fotball, First Division
Norway, First Division
Åsane Fotball
LLDDD
Sogndal Fotball
LDLLD
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
39%25%36%
Åsane Fotball39%Draw25%Sogndal Fotball36%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Åsane Fotball2.59—
XDraw3.97—
2Sogndal Fotball2.75—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricÅsane FotballSogndal FotballCombined
Goals scored1.171.332.50
Conceded2.171.673.84
Corners11.213.512.3
Cards1.71.22.8
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Confident answers
The line the model is most sure about — and how often such answers have come in.
Goals
This market opens with a subscription.
Sign up70%of such answers on goals came inlast 60 days · 878 matches
Corners
This market opens with a subscription.
Sign up70%of such answers on corners came inlast 60 days · 877 matches
Cards
This market opens with a subscription.
Sign up68%of such answers on cards came inlast 60 days · 874 matches
This is a probability, not a guarantee: roughly 3 answers in 10 don’t come in. Bookmaker odds on these lines are low — this block shows the model’s accuracy, not the value of a bet.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
Åsane FotballSogndal Fotball
Åsane Fotball 39%, Sogndal Fotball 36%. The safest is “No draw” at 74%.
Åsane Fotball 39%Draw 25%Sogndal Fotball 36%
1st half
32 · 34 · 34
2nd half
37 · 36 · 27
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Total corners: Over 8.5
71%
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
Åsane Fotball
- awayStromsgodset0:1
- homeBryne FK0:4
- awayRanheim Fotball2:2
- homeIL Hødd2:2
- awayEgersunds IK2:2
Sogndal Fotball
- awayStabæk Fotball1:2
- homeStrømmen IF1:1
- awayHaugesund0:2
- homeStromsgodset2:3
- awayMoss FK2:2
Head to head
- 04/25/26First Division0:2
- 08/30/25First Division1:1
- 05/16/25First Division0:2
- 10/26/24First Division2:0
- 04/15/24First Division1:1
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
12
Sandnes Ulf24741335:4525
Sandnes Ulf24741335:452513
Moss FK24741338:5425
Moss FK24741338:542514Sogndal Fotball23651238:5323
Sogndal Fotball23651238:532315Åsane Fotball24551434:5320
Åsane Fotball24551434:532016
Raufoss IL23611626:6119
Raufoss IL23611626:6119Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
Free full access for 3 days when you sign up
Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.