All matches

AS Nancy-Lorraine — FC Sochaux-Montbéliard, Ligue 2

France, Ligue 2

AS Nancy-Lorraine
WLLWW
—
FC Sochaux-Montbéliard
DWDDW
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Outcome probability
45%27%27%
AS Nancy-Lorraine45%Draw27%FC Sochaux-Montbéliard27%

Model vs market

Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1AS Nancy-Lorraine45%2.21—
XDraw27%3.68—
2FC Sochaux-Montbéliard27%3.64—

our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price

Quick markets

The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.

Both teams to score

Yes50%

ours 2.00

No50%

ours 2.00

Over 2.5 goals

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Over 9.5 corners

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Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricAS Nancy-LorraineFC Sochaux-MontbéliardCombined
Goals scored0.830.331.16
Conceded0.830.171.00
Corners7.09.58.3
Cards1.01.52.5
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Confident answers

The line the model is most sure about — and how often such answers have come in.

Goals

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70%of such answers on goals came inlast 60 days · 890 matches

Corners

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69%of such answers on corners came inlast 60 days · 889 matches

Cards

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69%of such answers on cards came inlast 60 days · 886 matches

This is a probability, not a guarantee: roughly 3 answers in 10 don’t come in. Bookmaker odds on these lines are low — this block shows the model’s accuracy, not the value of a bet.

Why the model reads the match this way

Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.

AS Nancy-LorraineFC Sochaux-Montbéliard

AS Nancy-Lorraine 45%, FC Sochaux-Montbéliard 27%. The safest is “AS Nancy-Lorraine or draw” at 78%.

AS Nancy-Lorraine 45%Draw 27%FC Sochaux-Montbéliard 27%
1st half
43 · 40 · 16
2nd half
31 · 43 · 26
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?

The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription

More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

Total cards: Under 4.5

71%
High variancelow probability, high price

Two more scenarios — with a subscription

Form and context

AS Nancy-Lorraine

  • awayRodez Aveyron Football4:3
  • homeStade de Reims1:2
  • awayFC Nantes0:1
  • homeUS du Littoral de Dunkerque2:0
  • awayPau FC1:0

FC Sochaux-Montbéliard

  • awayStade Lavallois Mayenne FC1:1
  • homeFC Nantes1:0
  • awayPau FC1:1
  • awayClermont Foot 630:0
  • homeEn Avant Guingamp1:0

Head to head

No head-to-head matches on record.

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
4Montpellier HSC73316:512
5FC Metz724110:710
6AS Nancy-Lorraine73138:710
7FC Annecy73139:910
8FC Sochaux-Montbéliard72414:510
9Dijon FCO723210:109
10Pau FC72236:68

Full breakdown

Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.