All matches

Jeunesse Esch — Etzella Ettelbruck, National Division

Luxembourg, National Division

Jeunesse Esch
1.8DLWWL
—
Etzella Ettelbruck
1.6DLWLL
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Outcome probability
49%24%27%
Jeunesse Esch49%Draw24%Etzella Ettelbruck27%

Model vs market

Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Jeunesse Esch49%2.04—
XDraw24%4.25—
2Etzella Ettelbruck27%3.65—

our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price

Quick markets

The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.

Both teams to score

Yes54%

ours 1.87

No46%

ours 2.16

Over 2.5 goals

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Over 9.5 corners

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Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricJeunesse EschEtzella EttelbruckCombined
Goals scored2.170.672.84
Conceded2.001.333.33
Corners8.88.38.5
Cards0.00.00.0
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Why the model reads the match this way

Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.

Jeunesse EschEtzella Ettelbruck

AS la Jeunesse d'Esch 49%, FC Etzella Ettelbrück 27%. The safest is “No draw” at 75%.

AS la Jeunesse d'Esch 49%Draw 24%FC Etzella Ettelbrück 27%
1st half
36 · 39 · 25
2nd half
34 · 39 · 27
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?

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More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

Second half total: Over 0.5

71%
High variancelow probability, high price

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Form and context

Jeunesse Esch

  • awayHostert1:1
  • awayRacing Union1:5
  • homeWiltz 715:1
  • awayRumelange5:2
  • homeMondorf1:3

Etzella Ettelbruck

  • awayVictoria Rosport1:1
  • awayDifferdange0:1
  • awaySwift Hesperange3:0
  • homeResidence Walferdange0:5
  • homeKaerjeng 970:1

Head to head

No head-to-head matches on record.

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
8Residence Walferdange850316:1015
9Hostert832314:1111
10Jeunesse Esch821514:177
11Dudelange82158:157
12Rumelange82068:236
13Victoria Rosport812511:205
14Etzella Ettelbruck81256:155
15Wiltz 71811614:224
16Swift Hesperange80082:300

Full breakdown

Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.