Both teams to score
Yes54%
ours 1.85book 1.89
No46%
ours 2.18book 1.81
All matches
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Aris Thessaloniki — Volos New, Super League
Greece, Super League
Aris Thessaloniki
2.3DLLWW
Volos New
1.0LLDDL
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
65%23%12%
Aris ThessalonikiMarket 1.4665%DrawMarket 4.3023%Volos NewMarket 6.5712%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Aris Thessaloniki1.541.46-3.4
XDraw4.444.30-0.7
2Volos New8.086.57-2.8
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricAris ThessalonikiVolos NewCombined
Goals scored1.330.832.16
Conceded1.672.003.67
Corners8.57.37.9
Cards2.03.55.5
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
Free full access for 3 days when you sign up
Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
Aris ThessalonikiVolos New
Aris Thessaloniki FC 65%, Volos New Football Club 12%. The safest is “Aris Thessaloniki FC or draw” at 85%.
Aris Thessaloniki FC 65%Draw 23%Volos New Football Club 12%
1st half
45 · 39 · 16
2nd half
40 · 38 · 22
Bookmakers: 1.46 · 4.30 · 6.57
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Total goals: Under 3.5
71%1.33
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
Aris Thessaloniki
- homeIraklis Thessaloniki0:0
- awayPAOK0:2
- awayAEK Athens0:5
- homeOFI2:1
- awayKalamata3:2
Volos New
- homeAEK Athens1:2
- awayKalamata1:3
- homeOlympiakos1:1
- homeIraklis Thessaloniki1:1
- awayOFI0:2
Head to head
- 05/13/26Super League2:1
- 04/18/26Super League3:2
- 02/14/26Super League1:1
- 08/23/25Super League2:0
- 03/01/25Super League1:1
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
5
Olympiakos53114:210
Olympiakos53114:2106
Panetolikos53028:79
Panetolikos53028:797Aris Thessaloniki52125:107
Aris Thessaloniki52125:1078
Iraklis Thessaloniki51314:66
Iraklis Thessaloniki51314:669
Kifisias51224:75
Kifisias51224:7510
Kalamata51136:84
Kalamata51136:8411
Atromitos50234:72
Atromitos50234:7212
Asteras Tripolis50234:92
Asteras Tripolis50234:9213Volos New50234:92
Volos New50234:9214
Levadiakos50140:91
Levadiakos50140:91Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
Free full access for 3 days when you sign up
Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.