Both teams to score
Yes58%
ours 1.74
No42%
ours 2.36
All matches
—
Apollon Limassol — Nea Salamis Famagusta, First Division
Cyprus, First Division
Apollon Limassol
2.8DDWDL
Nea Salamis Famagusta
1.2WLLDL
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
69%19%12%
Apollon Limassol69%Draw19%Nea Salamis Famagusta12%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Apollon Limassol1.45—
XDraw5.17—
2Nea Salamis Famagusta8.56—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricApollon LimassolNea Salamis FamagustaCombined
Goals scored1.501.673.17
Conceded1.502.173.67
Corners7.88.07.9
Cards2.62.65.2
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
Apollon LimassolNea Salamis Famagusta
Apollon Limassol 69%, Nea Salamis Famagusta 12%. The safest is “Apollon Limassol or draw” at 82%.
Apollon Limassol 69%Draw 19%Nea Salamis Famagusta 12%
1st half
48 · 32 · 20
2nd half
40 · 37 · 24
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Total corners: Over 7.5
72%
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
Apollon Limassol
- homeAPOEL2:2
- awayOmonia0:0
- homeAnorthosis Famagusta3:1
- awayAris Limassol2:2
- homeBrann2:4
Nea Salamis Famagusta
- homeAnorthosis Famagusta3:0
- awayAEL Limassol1:2
- homeAEK Larnaca1:4
- awayOlympiakos Nicosia3:3
- homeAnorthosis Famagusta2:4
Head to head
- 03/08/25First Division1:1
- 12/08/24First Division0:1
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
3
Omonia42208:28
Omonia42208:284
Paphos42114:27
Paphos42114:275Apollon Limassol41307:56
Apollon Limassol41307:566
Omonia Aradippou41304:36
Omonia Aradippou41304:367
Omonia 29 Maiou41219:75
Omonia 29 Maiou41219:758
Aris Limassol41214:65
Aris Limassol41214:659
APOEL411210:74
APOEL411210:7410
Olympiakos Nicosia40407:74
Olympiakos Nicosia40407:7411Nea Salamis Famagusta41128:94
Nea Salamis Famagusta41128:9412
Karmiotissa40313:63
Karmiotissa40313:6313
Anorthosis Famagusta41033:93
Anorthosis Famagusta41033:93Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
Free full access for 3 days when you sign up
Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.