Both teams to score
Yes55%
ours 1.83book 1.86
No45%
ours 2.21book 1.84
All matches
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Anorthosis Famagusta — Paphos, First Division
Cyprus, First Division
Anorthosis Famagusta
2.0LWLLL
Paphos
3.1LWDWW
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
24%23%54%
Anorthosis FamagustaMarket 6.4824%DrawMarket 4.3323%PaphosMarket 1.4454%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Anorthosis Famagusta4.216.48+8.3
XDraw4.444.33-0.6
2Paphos1.861.44-15.7
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricAnorthosis FamagustaPaphosCombined
Goals scored1.331.502.83
Conceded2.000.832.83
Corners9.28.58.8
Cards2.02.54.5
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
Free full access for 3 days when you sign up
Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
Anorthosis FamagustaPaphos
Anorthosis Famagusta FC 24%, Paphos FC 54%. The safest is “No draw” at 76%.
Anorthosis Famagusta FC 24%Draw 23%Paphos FC 54%
1st half
27 · 36 · 38
2nd half
25 · 37 · 37
Bookmakers: 6.48 · 4.33 · 1.44
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Total goals: Under 3.5
69%1.34
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
Anorthosis Famagusta
- awayNea Salamis Famagusta0:3
- homeAPOEL2:1
- awayApollon Limassol1:3
- awayAEL Limassol0:2
- awayOlympiakos Nicosia0:1
Paphos
- homeAEL Limassol0:2
- awayAEK Larnaca1:0
- homeOlympiakos Nicosia0:0
- awayKarmiotissa3:0
- homeDinamo Tirana4:2
Head to head
- 02/21/26First Division0:0
- 11/09/25First Division1:1
- 01/02/25First Division0:2
- 09/14/24First Division1:3
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
2
AEL Limassol43016:79
AEL Limassol43016:793
Omonia42208:28
Omonia42208:284Paphos42114:27
Paphos42114:275
Apollon Limassol41307:56
Apollon Limassol41307:566
Omonia Aradippou41304:36
Omonia Aradippou41304:367
Omonia 29 Maiou41219:75
Omonia 29 Maiou41219:758
Aris Limassol41214:65
Aris Limassol41214:659
APOEL411210:74
APOEL411210:7410
Olympiakos Nicosia40407:74
Olympiakos Nicosia40407:7411
Nea Salamis Famagusta41128:94
Nea Salamis Famagusta41128:9412
Karmiotissa40313:63
Karmiotissa40313:6313Anorthosis Famagusta41033:93
Anorthosis Famagusta41033:9314
Digenis Ypsonas40042:100
Digenis Ypsonas40042:100Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
Free full access for 3 days when you sign up
Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.