Both teams to score
Yes52%
ours 1.91
No48%
ours 2.10
All matches
—
Angers — Lorient, Ligue 1
France, Ligue 1
Angers
1.3WDLWL
Lorient
1.9LDWLD
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
36%26%38%
Angers36%Draw26%Lorient38%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Angers2.78—
XDraw3.88—
2Lorient2.62—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricAngersLorientCombined
Goals scored1.000.831.83
Conceded0.501.001.50
Corners14.56.510.5
Cards1.81.33.0
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
AngersLorient
Angers Sporting Club de l'Ouest 36%, FC Lorient 38%. The safest is “No draw” at 73%.
Angers Sporting Club de l'Ouest 36%Draw 26%FC Lorient 38%
1st half
27 · 41 · 32
2nd half
31 · 41 · 28
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Total corners: Under 10.5
71%
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
Angers
- homeTroyes2:0
- awayLe Havre0:0
- homeRennes1:2
- awayAuxerre3:1
- homeLille0:2
Lorient
- awayLe Mans1:2
- homeToulouse2:2
- awayLens1:0
- homeTroyes1:2
- awayNice0:0
Head to head
- 02/15/26Ligue 10:2
- 10/26/25Ligue 12:0
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
5
Rennes53118:910
Rennes53118:9106
PSG52218:78
PSG52218:787Angers52126:57
Angers52126:578
Strasbourg521210:107
Strasbourg521210:1079
Le Mans51319:96
Le Mans51319:9610
Auxerre52037:126
Auxerre52037:12611
Brest51227:85
Brest51227:8512Lorient51225:65
Lorient51225:6513
Toulouse51227:95
Toulouse51227:9514
Nice51223:65
Nice51223:65Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.