Altay — Atyrau, Premier League

Kazakhstan, Premier LeagueOctober 18 at 10:00 AM

Altay

1.5LLWWL

Atyrau

1.5LWLLW

Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Outcome probability

44%29%27%

AltayMarket 2.5144%DrawMarket 3.0029%AtyrauMarket 3.0027%

Model vs market

Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ

1Altay44%40%2.252.51+4.5

XDraw29%33%3.473.00-4.5

2Atyrau27%33%3.733.00-6.4

our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price

Quick markets

The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.

Both teams to score

Yes52%

ours 1.94book 1.93

No48%

ours 2.06book 1.80

Over 2.5 goals

This market opens with Premium.

Over 9.5 corners

This market opens with Premium.

Goals and corners — with Premium

Every pick of the day, full match analysis, scenarios and combos.

3 days free

Already have an account? Sign in

Combos

Combos come with Premium: result and total, result and corners, both teams to score and total — probability, fair odds and the market comparison.

Combos — with Premium

Every pick of the day, full match analysis, scenarios and combos.

3 days free

Already have an account? Sign in

Confident answers

The line the model is most sure about — and how often such answers have come in.

Goals

This market opens with Premium.

70%of such answers on goals came inlast 60 days · 1747 matches

Corners

This market opens with Premium.

71%of such answers on corners came inlast 60 days · 1745 matches

Cards

This market opens with Premium.

71%of such answers on cards came inlast 60 days · 1736 matches

Lines for goals, corners and cards — with Premium

Every pick of the day, full match analysis, scenarios and combos.

3 days free

Already have an account? Sign in

This is a probability, not a guarantee: roughly 3 answers in 10 don’t come in. Bookmaker odds on these lines are low — this block is about the model’s accuracy.

Why the model reads the match this way

Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.

AltayAtyrau

Altay FC 44%, FK Atyrau 27%. The safest is “No draw” at 72%.

Altay FC 44%Draw 29%FK Atyrau 27%

1st half

27 · 49 · 24

2nd half

37 · 39 · 23

Bookmakers: 2.51 · 3.00 · 3.00

Both teams to score?

How many goals?

How many corners?

How many yellow cards?

How many shots?

How many fouls?

How many offsides?

The full analysis and both conclusions — with Premium

Every pick of the day, full match analysis, scenarios and combos.

3 days free

Already have an account? Sign in

More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price

Basebalance of probability and price

Double chance: No draw

72%

High variancelow probability, high price

Two more scenarios — with Premium

Every pick of the day, full match analysis, scenarios and combos.

3 days free

Already have an account? Sign in

Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricAltayAtyrauCombined

Goals scored1.331.002.33

Conceded1.331.673.00

Corners8.09.28.6

Cards2.32.04.3

Offsides

Throw-ins

Fouls

Shots

Shots on target

The other six metrics — with Premium

Every pick of the day, full match analysis, scenarios and combos.

3 days free

Already have an account? Sign in

Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.