All matches

Alashkert — Syunik, Premier League

Armenia, Premier League

Alashkert
2.4DDWDW
—
Syunik
1.5LLDLD
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Outcome probability
68%20%12%
Alashkert68%Draw20%Syunik12%

Model vs market

Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Alashkert68%1.47—
XDraw20%5.12—
2Syunik12%8.09—

our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price

Quick markets

The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.

Both teams to score

Yes49%

ours 2.06

No52%

ours 1.94

Over 2.5 goals

This market opens with a subscription.

Sign up

Over 9.5 corners

This market opens with a subscription.

Sign up

Combos

Three kinds of combos — the most likely combination in each. The most likely of the three is highlighted. Every combination is in the tables below.

Combos come with a subscription: result and total, result and corners, both teams to score and total — probability, fair odds and the market comparison.

Sign up

Confident answers

The line the model is most sure about — and how often such answers have come in.

Goals

This market opens with a subscription.

Sign up

70%of such answers on goals came inlast 60 days · 907 matches

Corners

This market opens with a subscription.

Sign up

69%of such answers on corners came inlast 60 days · 906 matches

Cards

This market opens with a subscription.

Sign up

68%of such answers on cards came inlast 60 days · 903 matches

This is a probability, not a guarantee: roughly 3 answers in 10 don’t come in. Bookmaker odds on these lines are low — this block shows the model’s accuracy, not the value of a bet.

Why the model reads the match this way

Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.

AlashkertSyunik

Alashkert FC 68%, Syunik 12%. The safest is “Alashkert FC or draw” at 89%.

Alashkert FC 68%Draw 20%Syunik 12%
1st half
46 · 39 · 15
2nd half
52 · 34 · 14
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?

The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription

More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

Total goals: Over 1.5

71%
High variancelow probability, high price

Two more scenarios — with a subscription

Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricAlashkertSyunikCombined
Goals scored2.000.332.33
Conceded0.831.332.16
Corners10.611.311.0
Cards1.62.03.6
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

The other six metrics — with a subscription

Free full access for 3 days when you sign up

Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Form and context

Alashkert

  • homePyunik3:3
  • awaySardarapat1:1
  • homeVan4:0
  • awayUrartu1:1
  • homeGandzasar Kapan3:0

Syunik

  • homeArarat Yerevan0:1
  • awayAvan Academy0:3
  • homePyunik0:0
  • awaySardarapat1:3
  • awayVan1:1

Head to head

No head-to-head matches on record.

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
2Avan Academy861117:819
3Pyunik853018:818
4Alashkert843118:615
5Sardarapat833214:1212
6Urartu832312:1011
7Shirak831411:1010
8Ararat Yerevan83056:139
9CSKA Yerevan82248:108
10Van81164:214
11Gandzasar Kapan81078:203
12Syunik80263:172

Full breakdown

Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.

Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription

Free full access for 3 days when you sign up

Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.