Both teams to score
Yes49%
ours 2.05
No51%
ours 1.95
All matches
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Alashkert — Gandzasar, Armenian Premier League
Armenia, Armenian Premier League
Alashkert
2.2DDWDW
Gandzasar
1.6LLDLD
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
65%22%13%
Alashkert65%Draw22%Gandzasar13%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Alashkert1.53—
XDraw4.59—
2Gandzasar7.69—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricAlashkertGandzasarCombined
Goals scored2.000.332.33
Conceded0.831.332.16
Corners10.611.311.0
Cards1.62.03.6
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
AlashkertGandzasar
Alashkert FC 65%, Gandzasar 13%. The safest is “Alashkert FC or draw” at 87%.
Alashkert FC 65%Draw 22%Gandzasar 13%
1st half
45 · 40 · 15
2nd half
43 · 37 · 20
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Total goals: Over 1.5
71%
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
Alashkert
- homePyunik3:3
- awaySardarapat1:1
- homeVan4:0
- awayUrartu1:1
- homeGandzasar Kapan3:0
Gandzasar
- homeArarat Yerevan0:1
- awayAvan Academy0:3
- homePyunik0:0
- awaySardarapat1:3
- awayVan1:1
Head to head
No head-to-head matches on record.
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
2
Avan Academy861117:819
Avan Academy861117:8193
Pyunik853018:818
Pyunik853018:8184Alashkert843118:615
Alashkert843118:6155
Sardarapat833214:1212
Sardarapat833214:12126
Urartu832312:1011
Urartu832312:10117
Shirak831411:1010
Shirak831411:10108
Ararat Yerevan83056:139
Ararat Yerevan83056:1399
CSKA Yerevan82248:108
CSKA Yerevan82248:10810
Van81164:214
Van81164:21411
Gandzasar Kapan81078:203
Gandzasar Kapan81078:20312Gandzasar80263:172
Gandzasar80263:172Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.