All matches

Al Taawon — Al Ittifaq, Professional League

Saudi Arabia, Professional League

Al Taawon
1.8LLDLD
—
Al Ittifaq
2.1DDWLL
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Outcome probability
39%26%35%
Al Taawon39%Draw26%Al Ittifaq35%

Model vs market

Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Al Taawon39%2.55—
XDraw26%3.89—
2Al Ittifaq35%2.84—

our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price

Quick markets

The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.

Both teams to score

Yes58%

ours 1.73

No42%

ours 2.36

Over 2.5 goals

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Over 9.5 corners

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Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricAl TaawonAl IttifaqCombined
Goals scored0.000.500.50
Conceded1.170.501.67
Corners9.55.07.3
Cards1.03.54.5
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

The other six metrics — with a subscription

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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Why the model reads the match this way

Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.

Al TaawonAl Ittifaq

Al Taawon FC 39%, Al Ittifaq FC Dammam 35%. The safest is “No draw” at 74%.

Al Taawon FC 39%Draw 26%Al Ittifaq FC Dammam 35%
1st half
37 · 40 · 24
2nd half
30 · 38 · 31
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?

The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription

More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

Total goals: Under 3.5

70%
High variancelow probability, high price

Two more scenarios — with a subscription

Form and context

Al Taawon

  • homeAl Hilal0:6
  • awayAl Hazm0:1
  • homeAl Fateh0:0
  • awayAl Nassr1:2
  • homeAl Feiha0:0

Al Ittifaq

  • awayAl Qadisiyah3:3
  • homeAl Faisaly0:0
  • awayAbha1:0
  • homeAl Draih0:3
  • homeAl Nassr2:3

Head to head

  • 02/03/26Professional League0:1
  • 09/18/25Professional League4:1
  • 02/26/25Professional League0:1
  • 09/29/24Professional League1:1

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
7Al Kholood733112:1012
8Al Draih73227:511
9Al Ittifaq732211:1111
10Al Hazm72237:98
11Al Riyadh72238:168
12Al Feiha71337:116
13Al Khaleej70523:105
14Al Shabab70436:114
15Al Fateh70344:113
16Al Faisaly70345:133
17Al Taawon70343:123
18Abha70255:132

Full breakdown

Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.