All matches

Al Shahaniya — Lusail, Stars League

Qatar, Stars League

Al Shahaniya
1.4DLWLD
0:042′1st half
Lusail
1.9DWDL
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

0.16+0.02xG+0.050.10
6+2Shots+23
0On target+11
4+1Corners+11
0Offsides1
3Fouls+16
0Yellow cards0
0Red cards0
53%Possession47%

score, events and stats every 30 seconds

Match flow

Home events above, away below.

0′15′30′45′60′75′90′7′ · CornerAl Shahaniya33′ · CornerAl Shahaniya36′ · CornerAl Shahaniya38′ · CornerLusail41′ · CornerAl Shahaniya

Pressure

Each bar is 5 minutes: shots, shots on target, corners and xG in that spell.

0′15′30′45′60′75′90′
Al ShahaniyaLusail
Outcome probability
28%23%49%
Al ShahaniyaMarket 2.1328%DrawMarket 3.5223%LusailMarket 2.8349%
Line-upsAl Shahaniya4-4-2—Lusail4-1-4-1

Starting line-ups and substitutes. Usually out about an hour before kick-off.

Al Shahaniya4-4-2Lusail4-1-4-1

Al Shahaniya4-4-2

Coach: Younes Ali

Starting XI

  • 99GKShehab Ellethy
  • 32DFKhalid Muftah
  • 22DFS. van Beek
  • 5DFMuniesa
  • 19DFAbdulla Al Sulaiti
  • 21MFMohamed Surag
  • 6MFÁlvaro Sanz
  • 27MFI. Diallo
  • 11MFJawad El Jemili
  • 9FWA. Traoré
  • 10FWF. Antonucci

Substitutes

  • 16GKMohamed Abdallah
  • 2DFA. Mohamed
  • 23GKMohamed Saeed
  • 14MFSalah Alawi Al Yahri
  • 17FWAbdulrahman Fahmi Moustafa
  • 77DFYousef Hani Ballan
  • 8MFA. Meherzi
  • 88MFMoameen Mutasem
  • 20MFAli Qadry
  • 81FWLucas Gabriel Ribeiro Firmo
  • 4MFMohamed Sayyar
  • 31DFZ. Šarlija

Lusail4-1-4-1

Coach: Emanuel Mesquita

Starting XI

  • 1GKA. Shakouri
  • 2DFA. Pilali
  • 4DFF. Russo
  • 27DFM. Aiash
  • 66DFA. Nemati
  • 6MFO. Ebrahimi
  • 7MFF. Zavoshi
  • 20MFNaif Al Hadhrami
  • 8MFKhaled Mohammed
  • 11MFH. Firouzi
  • 19FWRodrigo

Substitutes

  • 10MFS. Jjbril
  • 77GKMohamed Al Ashwal
  • 15MFAbdulhadi Kasr Al-Oun
  • 22MFT. Geralnik
  • 70FWMohamed Khaled
  • 30DFH. Kamal
  • 3DFAli Malolah
  • 5MFA. Al Karatly
  • 14MFK. Mansour
  • 45MFMuhammad Taher Khan

Model vs market

Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Al Shahaniya28%47%3.512.13-18.5
XDraw23%28%4.383.52-5.6
2Lusail49%35%2.052.83+13.4

our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price

Quick markets

The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.

Both teams to score

Yes53%

ours 1.88book 1.48

No47%

ours 2.14book 2.45

Over 2.5 goals

This market opens with a subscription.

Sign up

Over 9.5 corners

This market opens with a subscription.

Sign up

Combos

Three kinds of combos — the most likely combination in each. The most likely of the three is highlighted. Every combination is in the tables below.

Combos come with a subscription: result and total, result and corners, both teams to score and total — probability, fair odds and the market comparison.

Sign up

Confident answers

The line the model is most sure about — and how often such answers have come in.

Goals

This market opens with a subscription.

Sign up

70%of such answers on goals came inlast 60 days · 1031 matches

Corners

This market opens with a subscription.

Sign up

70%of such answers on corners came inlast 60 days · 1030 matches

Cards

This market opens with a subscription.

Sign up

70%of such answers on cards came inlast 60 days · 1023 matches

This is a probability, not a guarantee: roughly 3 answers in 10 don’t come in. Bookmaker odds on these lines are low — this block shows the model’s accuracy, not the value of a bet.

Why the model reads the match this way

Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.

Al ShahaniyaLusail

Al-Shahaniya SC 28%, Lusail City FC 49%. The safest is “No draw” at 74%.

Al-Shahaniya SC 28%Draw 23%Lusail City FC 49%
1st half
31 · 38 · 31
2nd half
20 · 40 · 40

Bookmakers: 2.13 · 3.52 · 2.83

Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?

The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription

Sign in

More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

Total goals: Over 1.5

71%1.14
High variancelow probability, high price

Two more scenarios — with a subscription

Sign in

Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricAl ShahaniyaLusailCombined
Goals scored1.671.753.42
Conceded1.671.002.67
Corners8.38.88.5
Cards2.31.84.1
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

The other six metrics — with a subscription

Free full access for 3 days when you sign up

Start freeSign in

Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Form and context

Al Shahaniya

  • awayAl Duhail1:1
  • awayAl Shamal2:4
  • homeAl Sailiya3:2
  • awayAl Gharafa1:2
  • awayAl Gharafa1:1

Lusail

  • awayAl Gharafa0:0
  • homeAl Wakrah4:0
  • awayAl Ahli Doha3:3
  • awayAl Rayyan0:1

Head to head

No head-to-head matches on record.

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
4Al Arabi52308:59
5Al Shamal522110:108
6Lusail41217:45
7Al Wakrah51227:115
8Al Shahaniya41127:94
9Al Ahli Doha41125:94
10Al Gharafa51136:114

Full breakdown

Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.

Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription

Free full access for 3 days when you sign up

Start freePlans

Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.