All matches

Al Shabab — Al Taawon, Professional League

Saudi Arabia, Professional League

Al Shabab
1.7DLLDD
—
Al Taawon
1.8LLDLD
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Outcome probability
43%25%32%
Al ShababMarket 2.2543%DrawMarket 3.5825%Al TaawonMarket 2.9032%

Model vs market

Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Al Shabab43%44%2.332.25-1.5
XDraw25%28%3.943.58-2.6
2Al Taawon32%35%3.162.90-2.9

our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price

Quick markets

The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.

Both teams to score

Yes60%

ours 1.68book 1.55

No40%

ours 2.47book 2.27

Over 2.5 goals

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Over 9.5 corners

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Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricAl ShababAl TaawonCombined
Goals scored0.830.501.33
Conceded1.332.003.33
Corners11.811.811.8
Cards1.51.02.5
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Why the model reads the match this way

Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.

Al ShababAl Taawon

Al Shabab FC Riyadh 43%, Al Taawon FC 32%. The safest is “No draw” at 74%.

Al Shabab FC Riyadh 43%Draw 25%Al Taawon FC 32%
1st half
38 · 37 · 25
2nd half
34 · 38 · 28

Bookmakers: 2.25 · 3.58 · 2.90

Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?

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More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

Double chance: Home or draw

71%1.37
High variancelow probability, high price

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Form and context

Al Shabab

  • homeAl Feiha0:0
  • awayAl Kholood1:2
  • homeAl Hilal0:2
  • awayAl Hazm1:1
  • homeAl Riyadh3:3

Al Taawon

  • homeAl Hilal0:6
  • awayAl Hazm0:1
  • homeAl Fateh0:0
  • awayAl Nassr1:2
  • homeAl Feiha0:0

Head to head

  • 05/03/26Professional League1:5
  • 01/09/26Professional League0:2
  • 02/22/25Professional League2:2
  • 09/21/24Professional League1:0

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
12Al Feiha71337:116
13Al Khaleej70523:105
14Al Shabab70436:114
15Al Fateh70344:113
16Al Faisaly70345:133
17Al Taawon70343:123
18Abha70255:132

Full breakdown

Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.