Both teams to score
Yes52%
ours 1.92
No48%
ours 2.09
All matches
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Al Shabab — Al Faisaly, Professional League
Saudi Arabia, Professional League
Al Shabab
1.7DLLDD
Al Faisaly
1.7LDDLD
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
48%26%26%
Al Shabab48%Draw26%Al Faisaly26%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Al Shabab2.09—
XDraw3.79—
2Al Faisaly3.88—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricAl ShababAl FaisalyCombined
Goals scored0.330.330.66
Conceded0.831.001.83
Corners12.07.59.8
Cards2.01.83.8
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
Al ShababAl Faisaly
Al Shabab FC Riyadh 48%, Al Faisaly FC 26%. The safest is “Al Shabab FC Riyadh or draw” at 79%.
Al Shabab FC Riyadh 48%Draw 26%Al Faisaly FC 26%
1st half
42 · 39 · 19
2nd half
34 · 42 · 24
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Total goals: Over 1.5
69%
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
Al Shabab
- homeAl Feiha0:0
- awayAl Kholood1:2
- homeAl Hilal0:2
- awayAl Hazm1:1
- homeAl Riyadh3:3
Al Faisaly
- homeAl Ittihad1:3
- awayAl Ittifaq0:0
- homeAl Hazm0:0
- awayAl Qadisiyah1:3
- homeAl Fateh1:1
Head to head
No head-to-head matches on record.
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
12
Al Feiha71337:116
Al Feiha71337:11613
Al Khaleej70523:105
Al Khaleej70523:10514Al Shabab70436:114
Al Shabab70436:11415
Al Fateh70344:113
Al Fateh70344:11316Al Faisaly70345:133
Al Faisaly70345:13317
Al Taawon70343:123
Al Taawon70343:12318
Abha70255:132
Abha70255:132Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
Free full access for 3 days when you sign up
Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.