All matches

Al Kholood — Al Ittifaq, Professional League

Saudi Arabia, Professional League

Al Kholood
1.4LWDWD
—
Al Ittifaq
2.1DDWLL
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Outcome probability
36%25%39%
Al Kholood36%Draw25%Al Ittifaq39%

Model vs market

Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Al Kholood36%2.81—
XDraw25%3.93—
2Al Ittifaq39%2.57—

our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price

Quick markets

The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.

Both teams to score

Yes58%

ours 1.73

No42%

ours 2.36

Over 2.5 goals

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Over 9.5 corners

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Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricAl KholoodAl IttifaqCombined
Goals scored0.670.671.34
Conceded0.830.501.33
Corners10.36.38.3
Cards2.32.75.0
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Why the model reads the match this way

Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.

Al KholoodAl Ittifaq

Al Kholood Club 36%, Al Ittifaq FC Dammam 39%. The safest is “No draw” at 74%.

Al Kholood Club 36%Draw 25%Al Ittifaq FC Dammam 39%
1st half
36 · 38 · 25
2nd half
28 · 39 · 33
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?

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More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

First half total: Over 0.5

71%
High variancelow probability, high price

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Form and context

Al Kholood

  • awayAl Riyadh0:2
  • homeAl Shabab2:1
  • awayAl Feiha2:2
  • homeAl Ahli Jeddah3:1
  • awayAl Draih1:1

Al Ittifaq

  • awayAl Qadisiyah3:3
  • homeAl Faisaly0:0
  • awayAbha1:0
  • homeAl Draih0:3
  • homeAl Nassr2:3

Head to head

  • 01/24/26Professional League1:2
  • 08/28/25Professional League1:2
  • 05/10/25Professional League1:0
  • 01/10/25Professional League3:2

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
5Neom750213:615
6Al Ahli Jeddah740316:1012
7Al Kholood733112:1012
8Al Draih73227:511
9Al Ittifaq732211:1111
10Al Hazm72237:98
11Al Riyadh72238:168

Full breakdown

Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.